Patternform

Southwell 12:50 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class4) £4,085 Good To Soft 3m60y Lalochezia - is 130 on BF and 100/1 with bet365 1/4 first 3. - HOOF have him at 17/2. If it reproduces it's last run the this massive price will be justified, but there are reasons to thin...

03 Jan 2022 Musselburgh:1:00 Handicap hurdle:7 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Diamond State 0.298 5-2 4-1 5-1 2.573 bf 3.45 Musselburgh:1:30 Novice hurdle:6 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Salvino 0.315 9-4 4-1 9-2 2.424 bf 3.15 Musselburgh:2:00 Novice handicap chase:4 r...

02 Jan 2022 Ayr:12:15 Novice hurdle:8 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Captain Biggles 0.364 7-4 3-1 7-2 2.112 Escapeandevade 0.265 3-1 9-2 6-1 2.902 Domandlouis 0.218 4-1 6-1 8-1 3.527 Brandy McQueen 0.055 18-1 25-1 40-1 13.84 Tough Out 0.053 18-1 28-1 40-1 14.47 Bannside 0.022 50-1 66...

That - Blade Runner 10/1 - took my eye as well but via the HOOF ratings. There are two runners in novice races today who won their last race which were point-to-points which HOOF have at much lower prices than that available. This is one - hoof have it at 11/2, the other has just won the first at Ay...

02 Jan 2022 Plumpton:12:08 Novice hurdle:9 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Grandeur D'Ame 0.404 6-4 11-4 3-1 1.9 bf 3.85 * Plumpton:12:38 Novice chase:3 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Annual Invictus 0.409 6-4 5-2 3-1 1.878 bf 2.72 - 3.25 * fb1 Plumpton:1:10 Novice hurdl...

Mark of gold has drifted to 13 on BF - lets hope the horse hasn't found out!!

Ended up at an EW price of 8/1 and finished 2nd

I was a bit busy yesterday hence the late post. I've an "all or nothing" type bet today - win or pulls up. In the Sussex National (2.20 Plum) I can't let - Christmas In April - go unbacked at 38.0 on betfair. Won this two year ago as an 8yo off a rating of 123. Has had 10 races since, 4 in...

Alkazan - was pure fluke. Every now and then I have a look at apprentices who are riding today and look at their strike rate over the last 80 days, then have a deeper delve. Laura Coughlan https://www.patternform.co.uk/forumpattern/viewtopic.php?f=25&t=6237 happened to come to my attention and I...

01 Jan 2022 Cheltenham:12:15 Novice hurdle:7 rnrs HORSE TR-PROB TR-ODDS V-30 V-PLUS LAY_30 Get A Tonic 0.251 3-1 5-1 6-1 3.061 Doctor Ken 0.238 10-3 11-2 7-1 3.231 Hillcrest 0.226 7-2 11-2 7-1 3.392 I Am Maximus 0.156 11-2 17-2 11-1 4.923 Pull Again Green 0.08 12-1 18-1 25-1 9.508 Mot A Mot 0.041 25...

About time I had some winners. Dolphin Square - came from the full hoof cards - it was a 9/1 shot according to HOOF ( https://www.patternform.co.uk/forumpattern/viewtopic.php?f=35&t=6239 ). If I have time I'll look at those overlays and see why they are so big, and the only reason I could see wa...