alansill
Joined: 20 May 2011
Posts: 1
Location: Newcastle
Posted: Fri May 20, 2011 4:48 am Post subject: LTO starting price as a winner finding tool
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Dear Patternform
Firstly, many thanks for providing such a great service picking winners - as a suggestion I find for myself if I look at the LTO starting price (when available) and then group and compare with a current horse's price I find it an above average strike rate of success ( in particular between 2/1 - 9/1)
As a suggestion would it possible to introduce LTO starting price filter to the grid?
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alan sill
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cardreader
Joined: 08 May 2011
Posts: 153
Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2011 5:53 am Post subject:
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That is good angle .. ..
LTO more than 10/1, but less than 5/1 today.. this is a bet..
Good luck..
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Martinkil
Site Admin
Joined: 30 Oct 2005
Posts: 6692
Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2011 2:01 am Post subject:
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Another one onto the list
Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool
Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool
Across all races this throws up losses, in 2014 -316.37 pts at SP, - 137.31 pts at BFSP. I haven't drilled down to see if any specific types of races are better than others but frankly any method based on prices is suspicious to me as they can only ever be a rough estimate of a horses chance of winning.
Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool
I think they wanted it as a filter - so you can see how it done in the past when priced say 6-1 - 8-1
Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool
I think LTO favouritism rank would be more useful to be honest
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