Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

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martinkil
Posts: 3415
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

Postby martinkil » Thu Jan 15, 2015 12:53 pm

alansill



Joined: 20 May 2011
Posts: 1
Location: Newcastle
Posted: Fri May 20, 2011 4:48 am Post subject: LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

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Dear Patternform

Firstly, many thanks for providing such a great service picking winners - as a suggestion I find for myself if I look at the LTO starting price (when available) and then group and compare with a current horse's price I find it an above average strike rate of success ( in particular between 2/1 - 9/1)

As a suggestion would it possible to introduce LTO starting price filter to the grid?

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alan sill

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cardreader



Joined: 08 May 2011
Posts: 153

Posted: Wed Jun 01, 2011 5:53 am Post subject:

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That is good angle .. ..

LTO more than 10/1, but less than 5/1 today.. this is a bet..

Good luck..

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Martinkil
Site Admin


Joined: 30 Oct 2005
Posts: 6692

Posted: Wed Oct 05, 2011 2:01 am Post subject:

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Another one onto the list

SteveV
Posts: 65
Joined: Fri Jan 30, 2015 12:20 pm

Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

Postby SteveV » Fri Jan 30, 2015 4:47 pm

Across all races this throws up losses, in 2014 -316.37 pts at SP, - 137.31 pts at BFSP. I haven't drilled down to see if any specific types of races are better than others but frankly any method based on prices is suspicious to me as they can only ever be a rough estimate of a horses chance of winning.

martinkil
Posts: 3415
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

Postby martinkil » Fri Jan 30, 2015 5:00 pm

I think they wanted it as a filter - so you can see how it done in the past when priced say 6-1 - 8-1

Buzzit
Posts: 205
Joined: Thu Jan 29, 2015 6:20 pm

Re: Old Post - LTO starting price as a winner finding tool

Postby Buzzit » Mon Feb 02, 2015 5:18 pm

I think LTO favouritism rank would be more useful to be honest


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