2020-03-10 Cheltenham 1:30 - Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class1) £70,338 Soft 2m87y

All things related to the 2020 Cheltenham festival
martinkil
Posts: 3417
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

2020-03-10 Cheltenham 1:30 - Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class1) £70,338 Soft 2m87y

Postby martinkil » Sun Mar 08, 2020 1:34 pm

A few Youtube vids for some of the contenders

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ooX7-YThEE%20- Abacadabras - 2019 Baroneracing.com Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) - Racing TV -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqjxnxV-s14- Abacadabras - Paddy Power Future Champions Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) - Racing TV -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyEyB85Twqo- Fiddlerontheroof - The 'Unibet Tolworth Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtpgLaEDqnw- Asterion Forlonge - Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Brf1yRpGVs- Chantry house winning at Cheltenham 13-12-2019

martinkil
Posts: 3417
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: 2020-03-10 Cheltenham 1:30 - Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class1) £70,338 Soft 2m87y

Postby martinkil » Sun Mar 08, 2020 5:39 pm

1:30 - Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Ratings view)
On official rating it's close at the top - Asterion Forlonge 155, Fiddlerontheroof 154, Shishkin and Abacadabras 153.

Shishkin and Fiddlerontheroof get their rating through the runners they beat last time, but the handicapper has added another 5lb for the manner of their win and what more there is probably to come.

Abacadabras rating comes through his last race where Embittered (140) who finished 12 lengths behind in 3rd off levels, the second though would pull the rating down a tad, so here too the handicapper has rated Abacadabras as though Embittered ran to his rating which he probably didn't, so it may well include the ease with which Abacadabras pulled away.

Asterion Forlonge on the other hand was ridden out strongly to win it's Grade 1 last time, and in beating Easywork (146) Mt Leinster (142) and Conflated (136) by 9½, 13½ and 17½ lengths he's earned every one of his 155 rating.

Elixir D'ainay is rated 148 from chasing home the exciting Envoi Allen but I'm not sure the drop make to 2m will help.

All the others need to improve with the unbeaten Chantry House (140) having probably the best chance. Hasn't needed to run to a figure to win his races and who knows what he's capable of, even his trainer Nicky Henderson can't be sure.


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