4.35 Gowran - Carole Rose – 25/1

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
martinkil
Posts: 3417
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

4.35 Gowran - Carole Rose – 25/1

Postby martinkil » Sat Sep 30, 2017 10:20 am

4.35 Gowran - Carole Rose – 25/1 Paddy Power, bet365, Betfred, Betvictor
It strikes me that making Carole Rose the outsider of 7 is somewhat on the risky side.
The mare was a modest hurdler running 6 times and almost creeping into the frame once. It was a different story once she switched to the bigger obstacles, finishing 2nd then winning a beginners chase, but was found out on her handicap debut, and outclassed in a hotter novice chase soon after. Switched stables after another loss at Punchestown, and unplaced on it’s first two starts for the new stable, but that included a 33k race, refound winning ways on it’s third stable start when a 14-1 shot leading close home. Highly tried in a 44k 17 runner event on it’s next start, but returned to winning ways when dropped back down to a 10k race, again staying on well to lead close home. Back up to an 16 runner 18k race on it’s penultimate start when unplaced, and may have needed her last start after an 88 day break. She’s now only 1lb above her last winning weight, has won on soft and been placed on heavy and this jockey has been on top for both her last wins. Win or lose the 25-1 is for me a major rick.

martinkil
Posts: 3417
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: 4.35 Gowran - Carole Rose – 25/1

Postby martinkil » Sun Oct 01, 2017 8:17 pm

Finished 3rd in a 7 runner race so just missed out on the EW, but these sort of overpriced runners will, given time, produce a nice profit


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