Mozan

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Sat Feb 08, 2020 12:08 pm

gpnt wrote:Jorvik Prince is a classic example of a false fav,I don’t really understand the system,I can understand how Englishman won this by using the filters,of course you just have to analyse all the jockeys too as with any system.


Yes, gpnt, the need to look deeper is very much in evidence in this race with the form ratings needing more work
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
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Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Sat Feb 08, 2020 12:12 pm

First race today

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Deputy Jones with a lower level Mozan match and Valse Au Tallons with a U.F

Daphne Du Clos and So Lonely being 1st and 3rd rated on a selected set of Pattern Form data are also of interest, with enough runners for an e/w consideration
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Sat Feb 08, 2020 7:00 pm

Last race at Wolverhampton

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D.V match is Last Enchantment, and there is a C.N match in the form of Hooflepuff which is also 3rd ranked on form ratings, with a couple of U.F matches with Surrey Blaze and Tan Arabiq

Dovil's Date is an intriguing selection on form, though not supported in the market, but does have some ability on previous form, so will watch this race with interest
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alancardeque2020
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Re: Mozan

Postby alancardeque2020 » Mon Feb 10, 2020 12:39 pm

BOM DIA, ACHEI MUITO INTERESSANTE ESSA PLANILHA, COMO FAÇO PRA TER ACESSO...... ABRAÇOS...

Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:22 pm

alancardeque2020 wrote:BOM DIA, ACHEI MUITO INTERESSANTE ESSA PLANILHA, COMO FAÇO PRA TER ACESSO...... ABRAÇOS...


Thank you alancardeque2020, if you send me a private message with your email I am happy to share the Spreadsheet, I'm happy to let you have a copy provided it is only for your own use and that you will not share it with anyone else, as with any tool for analyzing a horserace it is up to you how you use the resulting information it creates, I make no claim using it makes a profit or finds winners, I find it simply an interesting tool to use to look at race.
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:29 pm

Mozan for 18:10 Wolverhampton

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Only Mozan match in this race is Dance To Paris, which is my selection for this race, a very competitive affair, but I see Dance To Paris as an improver that may just improve enough to take this race.
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:47 pm

Wolverhampton 19:40

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I find it hard to oppose the favourite Felix, which is an improving runner. This selection is the Mozan pick for the race, with Victory Bond having a D.V match, though is ranked 5th on form, with two horses having an I.D match, which leaves this race very open to all runners with the exception of Universal Gleam that I cannot make a positive case for.

I could make a case for Sha La La La Lee who is improving and if moving forward enough today could beat the favourite. It all comes down which stats are seen as the most relevant for this race. At an e/w price I will go with Sha La La La Lee to improve enough to take the race.
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Tue Feb 11, 2020 3:20 pm

Chelmsford City 16:15, now with 9 runners, so Mozan adjusted to reflect this

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Estrela Star looks the one to beat and top ranked on Pattern Form form, 2nd and 3rd rank look like they can compete on certain terms, with Muraaqeb looking very good at a nice price, and Contingency Fee dropping in grade and only up 3lb, is the selection for me e/w, plus has a Mozan C.N match
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Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Tue Feb 11, 2020 5:18 pm

Newcastle last race today

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Patternform ranking has Elixsoft as top, all wins on this surface and 7f should suit, but market does not seem to like this one, and 2nd and 3rd are Merweb and Kind Review, the 2nd ranked is a course winner and the 3rd was just beaten last time out, so positives for both.

The Mozan pick goes to Blindingly at a price with trainer & Jockey of interest, with Rich Approach with a D.V match with mention for Dutch Pursuit with a C.N match.

Plenty going on here with 14 runners to choose from, lots of possible running scenarios, I will go with Kind Review at an e/w price 3rd ranked and with an I.D match.
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Catspajamas
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Re: Mozan

Postby Catspajamas » Wed Feb 12, 2020 12:06 pm

Southwell 16:35

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Patternform rankings are aligned with the market, and though Deeds Not Words is a D.V & C.N Mozan match I cannot make a case on form in this race, so my selection in this race is Robsdelight as remains competitive and improving to date, plus has an I.D Mozan match.
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