Friday 24th May

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
Devasteve
Posts: 546
Joined: Fri Jan 16, 2015 8:29 am

Friday 24th May

Postby Devasteve » Fri May 24, 2019 12:37 pm

Well Apex King had a lot more going for it than I could uncover! However. I did mention that Love Dreams was a Mark Johnston horse, and I still haven’t figured them out! Quite pleased with Zhui Feng’s showing though, and he could be one to note again this year. Talking about Mark Johnston’s horses there’s another one at the front of the market today. but again – will he last out in front?

Goodwood 16.05 Cl 2 Hcap 156 (92.8) 6f gd – 9 Run (8 at best)

Last year – 156 (90.4) gd/sf – 7 ran
Raucous 4/1 5-9-6 (90) Dr 3 by 0.25l from George Bowen 7/4 F 6-9-6 (95) Dr 1

Tis Marvellous 5-10-0 (103) Dr 5
7/1* Cons 22 AB 266* Lto 160* SF 101* Rat 109*
Group winner in France as a 2yo, but only success since was in the 220/97.4 Shergar Dash over 5f at Ascot last August where he carried 9-13 off 100, although down the field at York and Doncaster in his two subsequent starts over 5.5f; one-paced in the final furlong on his return over 6f in listed company at Doncaster on opening day, and then didn’t cover himself with glory when 8/9 on AW debut at Kempton last month in a 160/91.3 over 6f; not consistent at present but highest ability and comes from similar class race lto, plus has rating support; however, not a form horse or the strongest contender off top weight.

Green Power 4-9-8 (97) Dr 2
5/1* Cons 17/14*? AB 127* Lto 650* SF 98* Rat 108*
11 May Cl 2 Hcap (650/97.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 33/1 8-11 18l 22/26 off 97 – 58
chased leaders, ridden 2f out, weakened soon after
16 Apr Cl 2 Cap (160/92.2) 6f gd/fm Nwmk 7/1 F 9-5 0.5l 3/15 off 95 – 102*
led until over 3f out, rallied and every chance from over 1f out, no extra towards finish
31 Mar Cl 3 Hcap (80/89/9) 6f gd/fm Donc 12/1 9-7 0.75l 4/17 off 95 – 100
tracked leaders, ridden to chase winner over 1f out, one pace final furlong
Winner at 2yo and regained the winner’s enclosure by winning the 220/91.8 Shergar 6f sprint at Ascot in August carrying 9-8 off 94; reasonable return at Doncaster on opening day, but couldn’t quite find enough to justify favouritism when pushed up in class at Newmarket, although did record a career best; pushed up in class again lto, but also up in trip to 7f for the first time and was never expected to be in contention in the Victoria Cup at Ascot; drops back to ideal distance today at a level and opposition against which he should be able to compete; consistent in the forecast (if you ignore last outing), second on ability and dropping in class from lto, plus he also enjoys ratings support; no surprise were he to go well, and a potential contender at this trip.

Lake Volta 4-9-9 (98) Dr 4
7/2* Cons 14* AB 120* Lto 130* SF 96* Rat 108*
18 May Cl 2 Hcap (130/92.7) 7f gd Thir 11/4 F 9-2 1.75l 3/10 off 98 – 102
led, headed over 1f our, kept on, not much room well inside final furlong
11 May Cl 2 Hcap (650/97.3) 7f gd/sf Ascot 16/1 8-12 4.75l 10/26 off 98 – 95
made most, headed entering final furlong, chased leaders, weakened well inside final furlong
30 Apr Cl 3 Hcap (70/91.8) 7f gd Yarm 4/6 F 9-7 1.75l 1/4 off 95 – 103
led, ridden and pressed over 1f out, held on well towards finish
Won over 6f as a 2yo, but after winning over 7f in listed company at Epsom, was largely campaigned over the longer distance thereafter; made a creditable return when 4th to Three Saints Bay over 7f at Musselburgh and 10 days later was dropped in class to win a 4-horse hcap at Yarmouth off a 2lbs lower mark; tried the front-running tactics again in the Victoria Cup and only weakened in the final furlong to round out the first 10 home, a long way ahead of Green Power (-1); again dropped in class at Thirsk last weekend but unable to claim victory despite having the early lead; similar class of opposition today, although will carry 7lbs more off the same mark. plus drops back to 6f for first time this year; consistent in forecast and third highest on ability, plus does have ratings support; however, question about the drop back in trip and whether he can raise his game again.

Enjazaat 4-9-3 (102) Dr 8
4/1* Cons 25 AB 101* Lto 310* SF 89 Rat 105
Won in listed company at Ripon as a 2yo and had a wind operation after finishing L/9 in the Mill Reef Stks on final start at 2yo; showed form in Gr 3 as 3yo, but L/14 in Sky Bet Dash at York on hcap debut at the end of June and not seen after; has been gelded since and makes return today; likely will need today’s race and not the strongest contender.

Puds 4-9-1 (90) Dr 6
4/1* Cons 6* AB 66* Lto 90 SF 100* Rat 108*
04 May Cl 3 Hcap (90/87.5) 5f gd Good 8/1 8-13 0.02l 1/11 off 86 – 95*
held up, headway over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, led post
20 Apr Cl 2 Hcap (160/89.9) 5f AW Kemp 11/2 8-1 1.25l 2/9 off 84 – 90
dwelt raced wide in touch, pushed along over 1f out, ridden and headway inside final furlong, nearest finish
15 Apr Cl 4 Hcap (60/76.0) 6f gd Wind 7/1 9-7 0.5 3/13 off 84 – 90
led on near side rail, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on, lost 2nd close home
Both AW wins have come over 6f, the latest on her first start for Hughes at Chelmsford in March, while her turf successes have come over 5f, the latest here at the beginning of the month for which she has been raised 4lbs; that was in Cl 3 though and came after finishing runner-up at Kempton after being raised to C l 2 for the first time; consistent within the forecast and joint fifth on ability, she’s going back up in class today with 2lbs extra physical weight, and while she does have ratings support it’s hard to see her being among the foremost challengers.; nevertheless, an improving sort who might have more success to come.

Areen Heart 5-9-4 (93) Dr 3
8/1* Cons 9* AB 48 Lto 100 SF 92* Rat 108*
Poor strike rate (3/36), although has been consistent on the AW in making the frame on 12 of his 17 starts, the latest when just going down in a 100/90.0 over 6f at Chelmsford in April, which has lifted his mark to a new high; has now been on the go since last May (28 races in total) with just a couple of 7f wins in that timeframe off marks in the low 80s; consistent in the forecast and has ratings support, but hard to see as a contender at this level.

Working down from the top, I think I’ll pass on Tis Marvellous until he’s shown some form, while Enjazaat coming back from a long break is another that is perhaps best watched today. Not so Lake Volta and Green Power, however, who have both shown form this term, and incidentally both ran in the Victoria Cup. Lake Volta would look the choice on that running, but back over 6f today I would suggest that Green Power may prove the better sprinter and reverse that running. I also think that Puds may do better than Areen Heart, while Martineo might prove best of the trio out of the handicap. Again there is some confusion, so it’s a race probably best left alone. However, Green Power from Lake Volta would be my best suggestion.

Return to “Race Discussion”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests