Acca for fun

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:21 am

I thought I'd throw all the picks from this thread into a spreadsheet to get a better look at how we are doing.

I know I've changed tack slightly since starting, but have tried to make it realistic, so:
1) I have ignored all split races (would make the spreadsheet messy)
2) I have used the tighter selections once mentioned in the thread, but all prior to that
3)Treating all bets as singles

First of all ignoring the nearly selections, and using BSP I have:
Win bets +16.2
Place bets (fixed stake) +8.8
Not taking place bets under 1.5 gives roughly the same result.

The nearly bets add 5 pts to the win total, but I think that comes from the Off Art bet which was +7.29. Ignoring that one bet then gives a couple of points loss, as do the nearly place bets.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:59 pm

Results:

Ffos 2:30 Christopher Wood - 2nd

Bath 4:15 Big Time Maybe - NP

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:21 am

Morning all,
Not much of interest to us again today.

Top pick:
Carl 3:20 Book of Dreams

Nearly:
Galw 5:30 Pocket Dial (some dodgy ratings, depending on where you look - and of course the last Irish race, but could be at a price worth a risk?)

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Mon Sep 18, 2017 5:12 pm

Results:

Book of Dreams - 2nd, missed the 1st spot by a nose. :roll:

Pocket Dial - 4th, but nowhere near the 3rd placer.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Tue Sep 19, 2017 8:30 am

Tuesday's selections:

Top picks:
Galw 3:00 Ontheiflist
Galw 4:05 Himmah (13 Runners)

Nearly:
Chep 1:40 Goodnight Girl

Goodnight Girl appears the best overall from several sources, even though it's only a 'nearly' as far as this selection process goes.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Tue Sep 19, 2017 4:30 pm

Galw 3:00 Ontheiflist - 2nd
Galw 4:05 Himmah (13 Runners) - 3rd

Chep 1:40 Goodnight Girl - NP

No winners, but Goodnight Girl flunking makes it look like our selection process is fair after all!

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Wed Sep 20, 2017 8:17 am

As the nearlys have not been doing all that well, I will drop them from the thread but I am still keeping tabs on them. If there are any improvements I will revisit them.

Our win % has now slid (slidden?) down to 45% over all, this may be due to the weather or those end-of-season blues, or may simply be settling to where it should have been and I happened to notice it when it was going through a good patch. Time will tell.
Place % I am pleased to report is still bobbing around the 80% mark.

Wednesday's selections:

Sand 2:00 Kitaabaat
Bev 2:55 Apple Anni
Fairy 3:30 Fleet Review

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Wed Sep 20, 2017 2:09 pm

Results:

Sand 2:00 Kitaabaat - 1st
Bev 2:55 Apple Anni - 1st
Fairy 3:30 Fleet Review - N/R

Makes a nice change!
Anyone still looking at multiples would have had +20.9 @ BSP :D

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Thu Sep 21, 2017 7:33 am

Two for today, unfortunately one is at quite a low price:

Yarm 2:00 Gabr
Ayr 4:50 Frankuus

EDIT: Ayr is now abandoned :(

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Fri Sep 22, 2017 8:02 am

A win yesterday, but only at a lowly 1.5 BSP.

No racing at Ayr today, which makes us lose another opportunity.
We are left with two picks, and again one of them is a bit short in price:

Newt 3:05 Amour De Nuit
Newc 6:45 Champarisi


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