Only one for Saturday:
York 4:25 Air Raid
Acca for fun
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Re: Acca for fun
Yesterday's horse didn't even place.
No qualifiers for Sunday.
No qualifiers for Sunday.
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Re: Acca for fun
I meant to do this yesterday , but time for a round-up as these selections are obviously not doing so well at the moment.
The figures I have are as follows:
Wins are now down to 44.5% but are still showing a 34pt gain since the start of the thread. At the high we were 44pts up so we are 10pts or 23% into a drawdown.
Place-only figures show us down to a 76.5% strike rate, and a 13pt gain, down from a high of around 17pts for a similar 22% drawdown at level stakes. Backing to place to level returns instead of of level stakes shows a gain of 18.5pts, but is undergoing a 33% drawdown.
The 'nearly' bets I was posting are currently showing +4 win and -2.5 place but that is only after a run of three wins; it was flat before those. They are also irregular recently, and there have only been three nearly picks in the last week.
I'll keep posting to the end of the month and we'll see if things get better or worse.
The figures I have are as follows:
Wins are now down to 44.5% but are still showing a 34pt gain since the start of the thread. At the high we were 44pts up so we are 10pts or 23% into a drawdown.
Place-only figures show us down to a 76.5% strike rate, and a 13pt gain, down from a high of around 17pts for a similar 22% drawdown at level stakes. Backing to place to level returns instead of of level stakes shows a gain of 18.5pts, but is undergoing a 33% drawdown.
The 'nearly' bets I was posting are currently showing +4 win and -2.5 place but that is only after a run of three wins; it was flat before those. They are also irregular recently, and there have only been three nearly picks in the last week.
I'll keep posting to the end of the month and we'll see if things get better or worse.
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Re: Acca for fun
One for Monday, another low-priced one.
Yarm 2:10 Alfarqad
Yarm 2:10 Alfarqad
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Re: Acca for fun
Nothing for yesterday.
Another two selections at very low prices for Tuesday:
Worc 3:10 Sword of Fate
Kemp 6:15 Spring Cosmos
Another two selections at very low prices for Tuesday:
Worc 3:10 Sword of Fate
Kemp 6:15 Spring Cosmos
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Re: Acca for fun
when a horse is 2/7 you expect it to win but the all-weather is very upredictable. no horse should be going off at that price on this surface
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Re: Acca for fun
Msalway2016 wrote:when a horse is 2/7 you expect it to win but the all-weather is very upredictable. no horse should be going off at that price on this surface
You called that one right!
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Re: Acca for fun
One winner and one no place, at such low prices a loss was almost guaranteed!
Trading the prices before the off would have turned a profit on both, but of course that's easy to say after the event.
As a side note, a gem of info for pre-race traders that I have found in my analyses (and may be common knowledge, but it wasn't to me!) is that AW races seem to have more large moves from early prices than non-AW. Don't ask me why!
Today's qualifiers, some at more reasonable prices:
Nott 2:30 Sheikha Reika
Punch 4:10 Petit Mouchoir
Punch 5:20 Iamastartoo (careful - last Irish race)
Kemp 5:45 Johnny Simpson
Kemp 7:15 Your Choice
Trading the prices before the off would have turned a profit on both, but of course that's easy to say after the event.
As a side note, a gem of info for pre-race traders that I have found in my analyses (and may be common knowledge, but it wasn't to me!) is that AW races seem to have more large moves from early prices than non-AW. Don't ask me why!
Today's qualifiers, some at more reasonable prices:
Nott 2:30 Sheikha Reika
Punch 4:10 Petit Mouchoir
Punch 5:20 Iamastartoo (careful - last Irish race)
Kemp 5:45 Johnny Simpson
Kemp 7:15 Your Choice
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Re: Acca for fun
Not a bad day yesterday results-wise with two 1sts and two 2nds, but once again only break-even @ BSP from a profit point of view.
Some more interesting prices available on today's qualifiers this morning, let's hope we can break this dry spell.
Brig 2:30 Key Player
Newc 6:15 Mountain Breath
Newc 8:15 Lewinsky
Some more interesting prices available on today's qualifiers this morning, let's hope we can break this dry spell.
Brig 2:30 Key Player
Newc 6:15 Mountain Breath
Newc 8:15 Lewinsky
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Re: Acca for fun
One winner and one 2nd yesterday, the better prices helped and should have given 2-3 pts profit.
Friday's selections:
Redc 2:00 Montague
Newc 6:45 Line House
Friday's selections:
Redc 2:00 Montague
Newc 6:45 Line House
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