Acca for fun

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Sat Oct 14, 2017 8:02 am

Only one for Saturday:

York 4:25 Air Raid

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Sun Oct 15, 2017 8:25 am

Yesterday's horse didn't even place.

No qualifiers for Sunday.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:39 am

I meant to do this yesterday :roll: , but time for a round-up as these selections are obviously not doing so well at the moment.

The figures I have are as follows:

Wins are now down to 44.5% but are still showing a 34pt gain since the start of the thread. At the high we were 44pts up so we are 10pts or 23% into a drawdown.
Place-only figures show us down to a 76.5% strike rate, and a 13pt gain, down from a high of around 17pts for a similar 22% drawdown at level stakes. Backing to place to level returns instead of of level stakes shows a gain of 18.5pts, but is undergoing a 33% drawdown.

The 'nearly' bets I was posting are currently showing +4 win and -2.5 place but that is only after a run of three wins; it was flat before those. They are also irregular recently, and there have only been three nearly picks in the last week.

I'll keep posting to the end of the month and we'll see if things get better or worse.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:51 am

One for Monday, another low-priced one. :(

Yarm 2:10 Alfarqad

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:43 am

Nothing for yesterday. :(

Another two selections at very low prices :( for Tuesday:

Worc 3:10 Sword of Fate
Kemp 6:15 Spring Cosmos

Msalway2016
Posts: 162
Joined: Thu Mar 24, 2016 2:38 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby Msalway2016 » Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:15 pm

when a horse is 2/7 you expect it to win but the all-weather is very upredictable. no horse should be going off at that price on this surface

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Wed Oct 18, 2017 9:43 am

Msalway2016 wrote:when a horse is 2/7 you expect it to win but the all-weather is very upredictable. no horse should be going off at that price on this surface


You called that one right! ;)

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Wed Oct 18, 2017 9:58 am

One winner and one no place, at such low prices a loss was almost guaranteed! :roll:

Trading the prices before the off would have turned a profit on both, but of course that's easy to say after the event. :lol:

As a side note, a gem of info for pre-race traders that I have found in my analyses (and may be common knowledge, but it wasn't to me!) is that AW races seem to have more large moves from early prices than non-AW. Don't ask me why!

Today's qualifiers, some at more reasonable prices:

Nott 2:30 Sheikha Reika
Punch 4:10 Petit Mouchoir
Punch 5:20 Iamastartoo (careful - last Irish race)
Kemp 5:45 Johnny Simpson
Kemp 7:15 Your Choice

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Thu Oct 19, 2017 8:38 am

Not a bad day yesterday results-wise with two 1sts and two 2nds, but once again only break-even @ BSP from a profit point of view. :(

Some more interesting prices available on today's qualifiers this morning, let's hope we can break this dry spell.

Brig 2:30 Key Player
Newc 6:15 Mountain Breath
Newc 8:15 Lewinsky

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Acca for fun

Postby shakeshuck » Fri Oct 20, 2017 8:51 am

One winner and one 2nd yesterday, the better prices helped and should have given 2-3 pts profit.

Friday's selections:

Redc 2:00 Montague
Newc 6:45 Line House


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