Sprint Selection

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
TheDarkOne
Posts: 6
Joined: Sat May 13, 2017 3:56 pm

Sprint Selection

Postby TheDarkOne » Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:12 pm

I'm looking at focusing on creating a method for sprint selections, what would are the best filters to use for sprint distance races? (5f-7f) ??

martinkil
Posts: 3418
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: Sprint Selection

Postby martinkil » Tue Sep 05, 2017 5:33 pm

Sprinting is 5f/6f.

7f is a specialist race distance.

Back in the 1990's I used to do a "Groundwork" article for the "raceform update" weekly paper. As I remember sprinters (may even have been sprinters who won their last race) who return to race within 4 days used to do really well.

Not sure if it still holds true today.

shakeshuck
Posts: 635
Joined: Fri Mar 06, 2015 2:12 pm

Re: Sprint Selection

Postby shakeshuck » Wed Sep 06, 2017 8:20 am

My database is a few months out of date, but assuming I got the queries right, since 1/1/10 it says:

5 or 6f; 1-4 days since last run. Strike rate = 14%
5 or 6f; 1-4 days since last run; won LTO. Strike rate = 26%

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Sprint Selection

Postby LoveWinners » Mon Sep 18, 2017 4:16 pm

all runner in sprints 4 days and below returns for handicaps (excluded non handicaps for obvious reason)

Tested Results
Bets .Wins. WinStrike SP_PL PlaceStrike
7861. 1010. 13% -994.59 34%

Lto winners of the above group
958 215 22% -109.30 51%


both groups have a terrible return and i thought it would be hard to find a filter when the numbers are not positive at all but
interesting when taking the whole first group and instead of looking at placing would be simply noting the runners who retained the jockey it turns from terrible to a possible pointer for further investigation of runners from a form perspective

different jockey
5105 594 12% -1002.61 32%

same jockey
2756 416 15% +8.02 38%


There are some good trainer who have hard good success and a few with a terrible record with quick returners


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