Advanced Analytics

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Wed Nov 22, 2017 12:30 pm

chepstow
1245 BTW Western Ryder 2 units
115 BTWP Togetherness 2 units each
150 BTW Soiesauvage 2 units
225 btwp both Nansaroy 5 units each and Glenforde 1 unit each
300 BTWP Waterloo Warrior 2.5 units both and btwp both Falcons Fall and big meadow 1 unit each for both
330 Dutch Until Winning and Thisonetime 1.5 units
400 BTWP Mondello 2 units each

Hexham
miss
1255 BTW Celtic Flames 1,5 units
130 btwp Teescomponents Lad 1.5 units each
200 Dutch Hattons Hill and Lowanbehold 2.5 units
235 Btwp Aniknam 5 units each and btw Clan legend 3 units
miss
340 Dutch Topham Bay and Bingo Dolivate 3 units

Warwick
1235 btwp Born For War 2 units ech
105 btwp Grace Tara 1 unit each
140 btw Ginge De Sophia 1.5 units
210 miss
245 btw Inn The Bull 1.5 units
320 btw Gorran Haven 2 units
miss

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Wed Nov 22, 2017 3:56 pm

going through a very sticky patch and would like to see it adjust fairly soon

Kempton
410 BTWP Peace And Plenty 4 units each and Plead 1 unit each
440 BTWP Give Em A Clump 3 units
510 BTWP Flavius Titus 2 units
540 BTWP Crack On Crack On 3 units
610 BTWP Bodes Well 2 units
640 BTWP both Keystroke 3 units and Mr Owen 1.5 units
710 BTW Lord George 3 units and BTWP Suegioo 1 unit
740 Dutch Snowy Winter and Isaac Bell 3 Units

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Thu Nov 23, 2017 11:59 am

MR
1210 BTWP Euxton Lane 2 unit
1240 BTW Undisputed 2 unit
110 BTW Arthurs Gift 3 units
140 BTW Officer Hoolihan 1.75 unit
210 Dutch Vinegar Hill and Copperfacejack 3 units
245 BTWP Teescomponents Max 3 units each
Miss

Winc
1220 dutch Without Frontier , Calculated Risk and Somerset Jem 3 units
1250 BTWP Volpone Jelois 2 units each
125 BTWP Both Triptico and Shanann Star 1 unit each both
200 Dutch Saffron Wells and Dreamcatching 2 units
235 BTW Storm Home 1 unit
310 BTWP Lady Longshot 2 units each

NEWC
BTC

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Thu Nov 23, 2017 12:08 pm

Cont

Newc
150 BTW British Art 2.5 units
220 BTW Master Singer 2 units
255 BTW Lewinsky 1 unit
330 BTWP Purple Rock 5 units each
405 BTWP Memories Galore 1 unit each
435 BTW Blue Harmony 1.5 units
Miss
Miss

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Thu Nov 23, 2017 5:39 pm

chelmsford
555 BTW Rock On Baileys 4 unts
630 BTW Briscola 3 units
700 BTW Bubble And Squeak 3 units
730 btwp Steel Train 3 units each
800 BTW Captain Lars 1.5 units
830 BTWP Medicean El Diablo 3 units
900 BTWP Dors Law 3 units each

Woodhousedan
Posts: 1
Joined: Mon Nov 20, 2017 12:51 pm

Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby Woodhousedan » Thu Nov 23, 2017 10:25 pm

LoveWinners wrote:chelmsford
555 BTW Rock On Baileys 4 unts
630 BTW Briscola 3 units
700 BTW Bubble And Squeak 3 units
730 btwp Steel Train 3 units each
800 BTW Captain Lars 1.5 units
830 BTWP Medicean El Diablo 3 units
900 BTWP Dors Law 3 units each


Very Impressive stuff mate! Some big priced winners there. I’m still fairly new to this site and trying to find winners in a number of ways. Hard to keep track but I’m extremely motivated. How are you coming up with these selections? Many Thanks in advance.

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Nov 24, 2017 12:45 pm

Thank you for your comments woodhouse dan , i shall reply in a second

catt
1250 BTW Oak Vintage 2 units
120 BTWP Black Art 2 units each
150 BTWP Cup Final and Milansbar 1.5 units each for both
225 BTWP Rockalzaro 2 units each
Miss
Miss

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Nov 24, 2017 12:54 pm

Ascot
100 BTW Sternrubin 3 units
130 BTWP Rockpoint 1 UNIT EACH
205 BTP William Hunter 1 UNIT
240 BTWP Fortunate George 1.5 UNITS EACH
315 BTWP Walk In The Mill AND Antony 1.5 UNITS EACH BOTH
350 BTWP Verdana Blue 2 UNITS EACH AND Eddiemaurice 1 UNIT EACH

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Nov 24, 2017 1:03 pm

F/LAS
110 BTW Jaunty Flyer 1.5 UNITS
140 BTWP Dark Invader 1 UNIT EACH
MISS
250 DUTCH Never Equalled AND Rafafie 1.5 UNITS
325 DUTCH Alberto's Dream AND Try It Sometime 1.5 UNITS
MISS

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
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Re: Advanced Analytics

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Nov 24, 2017 3:10 pm

Hi woodhousedan, The bets are produced by a very simple formula combined with RP stats and RTF. These are running below market expectation and even worse on my expectation but thats perfectly normal with such a small sample.

I believe the biggest problem with using any platform for analysis is being fooled by randomness. Whether we are selection or group betting we oftern underestimate perfectly normal losing sequences and even overestimate good winning ones when they play little to no role in overall profits.

You must find filters you are happy with and run them for 2000+ races to see just how effective they are against the market? The price will be the determining factor in the long run. If we agree with the market always then we have no chance of winning in the long run. i advise finding something that will likely analyse different to the majority. even some random factor by only picking the last 4 runs only and create a form rating and go from there (it can be as complex or simple as you choose?) but being patient and more importantly CONSISTENT will be vital.


There isnt a short cut , If it was meant to be easy then bookies would still make it near impossible as they are the ones setting the betting line and would be like taking candy from a baby to balance their books.


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