CHELTENHAM 2018

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby PuzzledLook » Mon Mar 12, 2018 11:25 am

DAY 1 - Tuesday 13 March - Have you bought your Cheltenham Lottery Tickets?

My thoughts on day 1;

1.30 KALASHNIKOV - Came 2nd

2.50 COO STAR SIVOLA - Won / COGRY - Came 11th

3.30 WICKLOW BRAVE - Came 7th

4.50 JURY DUTY - U/R / Ms PARFOIS - Placed 2nd / PYLONTHEPRESSURE - Placed 5th

5.30 RATHER BE - Placed 2nd / DIVINE SPEAR ( Now declared Non Runner ) / LIVELOVELAUGH - P/U / DEMI SANG - P/U

6-1 & under singles, above 6-1 each ways.

Good luck if following.

Just about broke even.
Last edited by PuzzledLook on Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.

bootsnspurs2017
Posts: 35
Joined: Tue Oct 31, 2017 9:01 am

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby bootsnspurs2017 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 7:25 am

Thanks for those. I have also got some suggestions...

1330 Claimantakinforgan
1410 Footpad
1450 Shantou Flyer
1530 Faugheen
1610 Benie des Dieux
1650 Sizing Tennessee
1730 Ballyhill

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby PuzzledLook » Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:01 am

Hi bootsnspurs,

Good luck with your selections.

I've just finished a mammoth task of collating information from 15 different sources on the 5 races that I have used above, ie. 1.30, 2.50, 3.30, 4.50 & 5.30. It is amazing in some of the races how people's views vary so much. In the 5.30 there are 11 different "win" selections. Here is the full list for anyone interested;

1.30
GETABIRD - 8
KALASHNIKOV - 4
CLAIMANTAKINFORGAN - 1
MENGLI KHAN - 1
SUMMERVILLE BOY - 1

2.50 (FROM 14 SELECTIONS)
COO STAR SIVOLA - 5
GOLD PRESENT - 4
COGRY - 1
KNIGHT OF NOIR - 1
VICENTE - 1
VINTAGE CLOUDS - 1
YALA ENKI - 1

3.30
BUVEUR DAIR - 10
FAUGHEEN - 3
ELGIN - 1
MICK JAZZ - 1

4.50
JURY DUTY - 8
NO COMMENT - 2
RATHVINDEN - 2
Ms PARFOIS - 1
PYLONTHEPRESSURE - 1
SIZING TENNESSEE - 1

5.30 (FROM 17 SELECTIONS)
DE PLOTTING SHED - 3
TESTIFY - 3
BARNEY DWAN - 2
RATHER BE - 2
DEMI SANG - 1
KAYF ADVENTURE - 1
LE ROCHER - 1
LIVELOVELAUGH - 1
MARKOV - 1
MISTER WHITAKER - 1
TYCOON PRINCE - 1

I suppose it was pretty obvious that the winner from each of these 5 races would be found and along with 9 places I have worked out if you had placed either 2 point win bets or 1 point each way bets a profit of 11.29 would have been made. Perhaps I should follow this tomorrow myself although I will have to spend a few hours collating the information.
Last edited by PuzzledLook on Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.

martinkil
Posts: 3418
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby martinkil » Tue Mar 13, 2018 10:52 am

5.30 (FROM 17 SELECTIONS)
DE PLOTTING SHED - 3
TESTIFY - 3
BARNEY DWAN - 2
RATHER BE - 2
DEMI SANG - 1
KAYF ADVENTURE - 1
LE ROCHER - 1
LIVELOVELAUGH - 1
MARKOV - 1
MISTER WHITAKER - 1
TYCOON PRINCE - 1


No one going for the current fav - Any Second Now - in the last - amazing!

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby PuzzledLook » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:01 am

Hi Martin,

2 say it will finish in 2nd place, whilst 2 say it will finish in 3rd place. You, yourself, haven't put this up in the "win" section and placed it 3rd in the "place" section. But as we know it is a real lottery at Cheltenham and with the going heavy I am sure there will be a few longish odds winners over these next 4 days.

martinkil
Posts: 3418
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby martinkil » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:10 am

I've made it my selection along with one other -http://www.patternform.co.uk/forumpattern/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=4797

The patternform tool doesn't make selections as such. The formbet is the nearest we get - but they are only meant to be indicative.

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby PuzzledLook » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:27 am

I should have said earlier that none of these sources came from any Newspapers so there could be several more opinions! Sod's Law will prevail and no doubt the old gentleman of the race ROCKLANDER or a long odds MARKOV @ 66's will be the winner?

I suppose LIVELOVELAUGH would be the ideal winner

bootsnspurs2017
Posts: 35
Joined: Tue Oct 31, 2017 9:01 am

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby bootsnspurs2017 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:33 am

PuzzledLook wrote:Hi bootsnspurs,

Good luck with your selections.

I've just finished a mammoth task of collating information from 15 different sources on the 5 races that I have used above, ie. 1.30, 2.50, 3.30, 4.50 & 5.30. It is amazing in some of the races how people's views vary so much. In the 5.30 there are 11 different "win" selections. Here is the full list for anyone interested;

1.30
GETABIRD - 8
KALASHNIKOV - 4
CLAIMANTAKINFORGAN - 1
MENGLI KHAN - 1
SUMMERVILLE BOY - 1

2.50 (FROM 14 SELECTIONS)
COO STAR SIVOLA - 5
GOLD PRESENT - 4
COGRY - 1
KNIGHT OF NOIR - 1
VICENTE - 1
VINTAGE CLOUDS - 1
YALA ENKI - 1

3.30
BUVEUR DAIR - 10
FAUGHEEN - 3
ELGIN - 1
MICK JAZZ - 1

4.50
JURY DUTY - 8
NO COMMENT - 2
RATHVINDEN - 2
Ms PARFOIS - 1
PYLONTHEPRESSURE - 1
SIZING TENNESSEE - 1

5.30 (FROM 17 SELECTIONS)
DE PLOTTING SHED - 3
TESTIFY - 3
BARNEY DWAN - 2
RATHER BE - 2
DEMI SANG - 1
KAYF ADVENTURE - 1
LE ROCHER - 1
LIVELOVELAUGH - 1
MARKOV - 1
MISTER WHITAKER - 1
TYCOON PRINCE - 1


From previous years, day 1 of Cheltenham rarely goes to plan so threw the rule book away

I picked Claimabtakinforgan mainly on his sire, his connections, he's a bit of a battler and shows a fairly high knee action

Footpad picked on form alone

Shantou Flyer picked for his 2 Cheltenham 2nds in January and his jockey

Faugheen and Benie des Dieux on form alone

Sizing Tennesse on past form, that he has shown recent hints at - hopefully his experience will even out the jockeys inexperience (amateur riders race )

And finally

Ballyhoo has recent good form at Cheltenham on heavy and his jockey is good too and has a 3lb claim

I also don't use tipsters - just on form and connections

bootsnspurs2017
Posts: 35
Joined: Tue Oct 31, 2017 9:01 am

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby bootsnspurs2017 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:35 am

PuzzledLook wrote:I should have said earlier that none of these sources came from any Newspapers so there could be several more opinions! Sod's Law will prevail and no doubt the old gentleman of the race ROCKLANDER or a long odds MARKOV @ 66's will be the winner?

I suppose LIVELOVELAUGH would be the ideal winner


Who would be people's big price picks at all, if they have any?

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: CHELTENHAM 2018

Postby PuzzledLook » Tue Mar 13, 2018 11:59 am

Hi bootsnspurs,

Yes like you I do my own ratings and do marvel at how some of these sites come up with their selections.

Going back to the theme of people's choices these are some of those;

1.30 GOLDEN JEFFREY c500-1 & LOSTINTRANSLATION c80-1
2.50 SIZING CODELCO c40-1
3.30 CHARLI PARCS c150-1
4.50 LOFGREN c150-1
5.30 CONRAD HASTINGS c100-1

I'm worried that by posting these, 1 of the buggers is either going to win or place?

Lastly & by the way it's nice to see some discussion on this forum. Others please contribute.


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