Dom's "Many Variables" selections
Posted: Fri Jul 06, 2018 8:19 am
I read this article today, which was shared on Twitter by Josh Wright, entitled "How To Find A 66/1 Winner" https://racingtoprofit.co.uk/2018/07/03/guestpost/ so I thought I'd see if I could apply some of the thinking using Patternform.
So, we're looking for horse(s) with outstanding speed ratings under very similar conditions to today. We're looking for horses that have had plenty of runs, so ignore maidens, etc.
Going: Same as today, but allow for similar (eg if it's GF, you might want to check if anything has an outstanding figure on Firm or Good)
Race Distance: Same as today, again, if it's an in-between distance, say 7f110y, you might want to select 7f\8f
LH\RH: Only select if they are going that direction, eg) if it's on a straight course, don't bother
Look back: 12 Months
Next, go to Lawrence Taylor's "Speed Ratings" on ATR http://www.attheraces.com/tips/atr-tips ... ed-ratings (this is free to access, so I don't think there's a problem putting this up) and see if your Patternform selection(s) are mentioned in Lawrence's write up. They don't have to be top rated, but it's worth looking at the form to see if the horse(s) have performed a good rating on ground\conditions.
If it's an unusual course, like Epsom, it's worth checking if the horse(s) have ran well under similar conditions on similar courses (eg Brighton)
If in doubt, ignore, move onto the next race.
It's NOT an exact science, it's NOT a point and click system, you have to do your homework and decide what your selections are, you're using Patternform as a tool to do this.
These are today's results from my selections, which are pretty impressive:
Miss Sheridan WON 10/1
Derek Duval WON 7/1
Marnie James WON 9/2
Dizzy G WON 3/1
Baron Bolt WON 11/4
Narjes 2nd 12/1 (5 ran)
Cryptonite 3rd (only 7 ran)
Dourado Unplaced
Punkawallah Unplaced
Golden Guest Unplaced
When I get time, I will keep repeating and will post on here if I get chance, but I'd suggest you have a look yourself, as you may come up with better variables and selections than I have.
Good luck!
So, we're looking for horse(s) with outstanding speed ratings under very similar conditions to today. We're looking for horses that have had plenty of runs, so ignore maidens, etc.
Going: Same as today, but allow for similar (eg if it's GF, you might want to check if anything has an outstanding figure on Firm or Good)
Race Distance: Same as today, again, if it's an in-between distance, say 7f110y, you might want to select 7f\8f
LH\RH: Only select if they are going that direction, eg) if it's on a straight course, don't bother
Look back: 12 Months
Next, go to Lawrence Taylor's "Speed Ratings" on ATR http://www.attheraces.com/tips/atr-tips ... ed-ratings (this is free to access, so I don't think there's a problem putting this up) and see if your Patternform selection(s) are mentioned in Lawrence's write up. They don't have to be top rated, but it's worth looking at the form to see if the horse(s) have performed a good rating on ground\conditions.
If it's an unusual course, like Epsom, it's worth checking if the horse(s) have ran well under similar conditions on similar courses (eg Brighton)
If in doubt, ignore, move onto the next race.
It's NOT an exact science, it's NOT a point and click system, you have to do your homework and decide what your selections are, you're using Patternform as a tool to do this.
These are today's results from my selections, which are pretty impressive:
Miss Sheridan WON 10/1
Derek Duval WON 7/1
Marnie James WON 9/2
Dizzy G WON 3/1
Baron Bolt WON 11/4
Narjes 2nd 12/1 (5 ran)
Cryptonite 3rd (only 7 ran)
Dourado Unplaced
Punkawallah Unplaced
Golden Guest Unplaced
When I get time, I will keep repeating and will post on here if I get chance, but I'd suggest you have a look yourself, as you may come up with better variables and selections than I have.
Good luck!