Top value bets

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Wed Feb 06, 2019 11:38 pm

thanks gents, it was a good day but just a correction from a poor run funnily i managed to back the loser from my 2 :lol: its all just timing afterall as a good few since start would not be bets at remotely close to their s.ps. i think ill just put these up at 'cold market' times as its best to show its potential overall, hopefully by year end we can extrapolate from there.


only one ill be betting but here they are in full

Doncaster

430 Veiled Secret 1 pt 12/1


Ffos Las
150 Astra Via 1pt ew 9/1
225 Remastered 1pt 11/4
300 Cougars Gold 1pt 11/4
335 Late Romantic 1 pt ew 9/1

Huntingdon
130 Longhousesignora 2 pts 5/2
200 Emitom 3 pts '5/2
235 Erick Le Rouge 2pts 3/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Sat Feb 09, 2019 2:11 pm

Naas
240Konitho 3pts '5/4
310 Velocity Boy 1pt 6/1
340 Liclash 0.75 ew 40/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Feb 10, 2019 9:55 am

pun
145
no.5 1pt 33/1

220
no.1 2pt win 5/2

250
no.8 3pt win '4/1

320
no.5 3pt ew '8/1

350
no.3 2pts 13/2

420
no.16 3pts ew '20/1

450
no.7 2pts 2/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Feb 10, 2019 10:51 pm

With a break in the racing i thought i would post a basic progress report despite being way short of my intended every 500 with full breakdown analysis.
it is rather meaningless with such small numbers but we have what we have at this point...

With 169 bets

staking +1.355 (0.48%)
1pt win or 0.5 e/w? -31.52 (-18.65%)
1pt win all -32 (-18.93%)


We started off the thread with a (relative to sample) decent down swing with a few double figure near misses and some frustrating results which meant we were on the back foot very early on, the sample is not out of expectations though so nothing real we can draw from this limited data if we stopped at this point? ( we are not of course)


for info purposes as its a rather limited basic overview i will check my bets from the thread which are highlighted with ' but note not my obtained odds buts those of the thread.

Bets 52
Staked 122.5
PL 31.4
Return +25.63%



the above shows that just because the model says x is value that is upto the user to interpret as the see fit,its always nice to have options and not be dogmatic with anything involving humans and animals no matter how much faith you have in your numbers.

its not all a bed of roses though as if i had simple made my bets from the model (the ones i bet) with the caveat that they are max value bets (3pts/3ew) the results look as follows

Bets 17
staked 63
PL +62.1
Return +98.41%

And from those 17 bets profited +19pts to 1 pt wins.


So From the above what can we take away fom the results? :lol: absolutely nothing they are worthless as an indicator for anything but a simple snapshot into variance..

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Wed Feb 13, 2019 10:31 am

3.05 Fair OSullivan, Ross 4/Call It Magic 3pts '7/2
4.35 Fair Donnelly, Garvan 1/Misty Millie 3pt ew '14/1
6.45 Kemp Cox, C G 8/Regal Ambition 1pt ew 20/1
8.15 Kemp Spiller, Henry 11/King Of Rooks 3pt ew '9/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Feb 15, 2019 11:22 pm

plenty on...

Ascot
1230 no.3 2 pts 2/1
100 no.7 3pts ew '8/1
320 no.12 3pts ew '16/1
355 no.6 3pts'13/8
430 no.11 2pts 12/1

haydock
225 no.4 3pts '9/4
255 no.5 2 pts 12/1
335 no.16 1pt ew 18/1
410 no.2 2pts 8/1

Ling
240 no.1 1pt 16/1
350 no.2 2pts 5/2

Winc
300 no.4 2 pts 10/1
435 no.7 2 pts 10/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:13 am

Race Trainer Card No/Horse
1.30 Hunt Henderson, N J 1/Heatstroke 33 25 28 1.8 yes 3pts 3.50
3.15 MkRa Newland, Dr R D P 11/Jimmy Rabbitte 33 37 29 4.7 yes 2pts 7.50
3.35 Hunt Evans, H J 5/Nobel Leader 29 20 10 3.25 yes 1pt 3.50
4.40 Hunt Evans, H J 2/Sands Cove 29 20 14 4.2 yes 2pts 6.00
4.50 MkRa Foster, Miss J E 5/Noble Call 33 33 14 7 yes 1pt 10.00

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Tue Feb 19, 2019 12:52 pm

Taunton
210 no.14 1 pt 13/2
240 no.14 1 pt 2/1
345 no.6 1 pt ew 10/1
415 no.7 3 pts ew '9/1
520 no.14 1 pt ew 66/1

wetherby
150 no.14 3 pts ew '11/1
330 no.8 1 pt ew 50/1
400 no.10 1 pt ew 16/1
435 no.6 1 pt 13/2

LoveWinners
Posts: 1198
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am
Location: Paraguay
Contact:

Re: Top value bets

Postby LoveWinners » Tue Mar 12, 2019 2:46 pm

cheltenham
(2) 250 Shantou Village 1.75 pts ew 50/1 (6places) , Magic Of Light 1.75 pts ew 25/1(6places)
330 Apple's Jade 3pts 9/4
410 Roksana 2pt ew 15/2
450 Good Man Pat 3pts ew (1/4 5places)
530 Jerrysback 2pts ew 11/1


Return to “Selections Only”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests