Winter Mixtures

It appears that some posters want to put selections up without any reasoning. This is the forum where they can be posted. "Selection only" post found elsewhere will be deleted
PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Fri Dec 27, 2019 10:54 am

A Treble, some Extra Each Ways & Others;

1) TREBLE (All 3 from Venetia Williams)

1.05 Chepstow ECEPARTI @ 6-4 / 3rd of 7

1.20 Kempton FANION D'ESTRUVAL @ 11-8 / 5th of 6

3.05 Kempton BELAMI DES PICTONS @ 9-4 / 8th of 11

1 point win could return 19.29 points

All 3 were favourites and couldn't have run so badly if they tried!

2) EXTRA EACH WAYS

2.30 Kempton CAID DU LIN @ 12-1 with 1/4 of 3 (5 run) / 5th of 5

2.50 Chepstow VIRGINIA CHICK @ 16-1 with 1/4 of 7 (17 run) / 11th of 17

3) OTHERS

2.00 Chepstow PERFECT MAN @ 8-1 with 1/5 of 3 / 5th of 11

2.25 Wolves ANNA MARIA @ 16-1 with 1/5 of 3 / 4th of 12

2.55 Leopardstown PLAN OF ATTACK @ 16-1 with 1/4 of 5 / 3rd of 27 - At last a winner +3.00

3.00 Wolves SOCIALLY SHADY @ 12-1 with 1/5 of 3 / 5th of 12

4.10 Wolves HERM @ 9-2 / 12th of 13

Another total disaster following on from yesterday with a loss of 10 points

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Sun Dec 29, 2019 7:19 pm

Monday's thoughts covering 21 points;

12.25 Haydock PASSAM @ 10-1 with 1/5 of 3 (4th of 11) = Loss of 2 points

12.35 Lingfield DELICATE KISS @ 10-1 with 1/5 of 3 (2nd of 10) = Return of 3 points

Combined also as an Each Way Double could return 130 points = Loss of 2 points

1/2 point Each Way Lucky 15 (15 points stake)

1.50 Taunton ELITE GARDE @ 3-1 (6th of 6)

2.00 Haydock LORD DU MESNIL @ 3-1 (WON)

2.45 Lingfield LOVELY LOU LOU @ 7-1 (8th of 8)

3.40 Haydock KIRIGLOTE @ 9-2 (2nd of 10)

Could return 765 points = Return of 8.5 points

LOSS on day of 7.5 points on the day

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:57 am

1.40 Musselburgh WESTERN MILLER @ 14-1 with 1/4 of 7 (14 run) / 5th of 14 = Profit of 2.5 points

2.25 Exeter THE KINGS WRIT @ 8-1 / 2nd of 10 = Loss of 1 point

2.50 Musselburgh LOSTOCK HALL @ 8-1 / 8th of 12 = Loss of 1 point

3.50 Cheltenham SHINOBI @ 18-1 with 1/5 of 7 (16 run) / 10th of 16 = Loss of 2 points

LOSS on day of 1.5 points

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Thu Jan 02, 2020 10:55 am

1 from each of today's meetings, as 1 point Each Way Bets,combined in a 1/2 point Each Way Trixie (outlay of 10 points);

2.55 Lingfield KYLLACHY GALA @ 6-1 with 1/4 of 2 - Won @ 6-1 = +7.50 points

3.10 Ayr VEAUCE DE SIVOLA @ 10-1 with 1/5 of 3 - Placed @ 10-1 = +1.00 point

6.00 Chelmsford BANTA BAY @ 9-1 with 1/5 of 3 - Came 4th = Loss of 2 points

Each Way Trixie could return 535 points - Returned 3.76 points making a loss of 0.24 points

Total for the day = Profit of 6.26 points
Last edited by PuzzledLook on Thu Jan 02, 2020 8:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Thu Jan 02, 2020 1:34 pm

Whilst studying yesterday's results I noticed that out of the 55 races the combination of horses 5 & 6 won 4 races with the following;

1.25 Cheltenham - Odds of 4-1 & 20-1 paying out £89.50 to £1 bet

1.30 Fairyhouse - Odds of 9-2 & 7-1 paying out £32.61 to £1 bet

1.50 Exeter - Odds of 12-1 & 2-1 paying out £25.39 to £1 bet

3.10 Cheltenham - Odds of 10-1 & 7-2 paying out £36.35 to £1 bet

Profit assuming £1 bet on all 55 races (using horses 5 & 6 on all) would have been £132.85.

There has already been this combination coming in on the 12.15 @ Lingfield so being brave (or foolish) I am going to have a dabble with the following but laying out 50p reverse forecasts (£1 per race)

2.40 Ayr paying £30.87/£39.94 = 7th & 2nd

2.55 Lingfield paying £7.22/£7.79 = 3rd & 7th

3.30 Lingfield paying £21.75/£18.97 = 2nd & 3rd

4.00 Chelmsford paying £106.80/£124.16 = 1st & 9th

4.30 Chelmsford paying £21.66/£21.66 = 7th & 3rd

6.30 Chelmsford paying £8.79/£8.52 = 5th & 4th

7.00 Chelmsford paying £22.53/£17.02 = 9th & 4th

NOT to be with a loss of £7 for the day

PuzzledLook
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jan 10, 2017 2:02 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby PuzzledLook » Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:40 am

1.00 Wolves ENGLISHMAN @ 16-1 with 1/4 of 5

3.20 Hereford ONURBIKE @ 20-1 with 1/4 of 5

5.00 Dundalk TOGOVILLE @ 9-1 with 1/4 of 4

7.15 Southwell LOGI @ 12-1 with 1/4 of 4

7.45 Southwell MOLLIANA - Taken 8.0 with Betdaq, generally about 4-1 (2 point win whatevers taken)

gpnt
Posts: 238
Joined: Tue Sep 08, 2015 9:54 pm

Re: Winter Mixtures

Postby gpnt » Fri Jan 03, 2020 5:07 pm

I will put in my 10 cents worth.
Dun 8.30 paistiful
Dun 8.00 bellepower
7.30 summit rock
7.00 will be king
6.30 bodak.


6.00 Guinevere
5.30 sayesse.
Martin,thanks very much for covering Meydan tomorrow,I will post my selections


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