13-may-2017

Using Historical In Running prices to predict runner who may DOB today
martinkil
Posts: 776
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

13-may-2017

Postby martinkil » Sat May 13, 2017 10:02 am

4.00 Ascot - Outback Traveller - 46 (to DOB)
The cavalry charge which is the Victoria Cup with 25 runners stretched across the width of the Ascot straight course may not be the most promising place to look for a dobbing banker, but these condition are what the selection loves.
Firstly he's a great overall dobber with a lifetime dobbing stat of 70% - third top behind Fastnet Tempest 88% and Zhui Feng 75%. Over 7f he has an 80% dobbing rate. In fields of 14 or more he's 6 from 6 - 79342* and these include this race in 2055 (rated 107) and 2016 (rated 100). He's on 105 today and has dobbed on his seasonal debut for the last 3 years, although not in this class of race. He travels strongly and his best run last year was when winning the Wokingham off 100. He was favourite for this last year, and from today's big price must at the very least have a chance of dobbing.

Mowatt
Posts: 19
Joined: Fri May 12, 2017 12:28 am

Re: 13-may-2017

Postby Mowatt » Sat May 13, 2017 5:09 pm

How did you get on with this one today?

martinkil
Posts: 776
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: 13-may-2017

Postby martinkil » Sun May 14, 2017 2:52 pm

No joy :(


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