aw systems (testing)

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Thu Apr 12, 2018 11:29 pm

looking to find a profitable system on the aw using patternform

system =distance plus 1 up and 1 down..then 24 months filters then top win/place, if two horses in one race the latter would be the danger horse

Kempton 13th Apr - 17:45 1m Hcap
Backing: Beloved Knight
Kempton 13th Apr - 18:15 1m Hcap
Backing: Pike Corner Cross
Kempton 13th Apr - 18:45 6f Hcap
Backing: Dotted Swiss OR Delilah Park
Kempton 13th Apr - 19:15 6f Nov Stks
Backing: Khamry
Kempton 13th Apr - 19:45 6f Hcap
Backing: Galloway Hills OR Ragstone Road
Kempton 13th Apr - 20:15 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Casima OR Folies Bergeres
Kempton 13th Apr - 20:45 7f Hcap
Backing: Weloof OR Chetan
Last edited by mattgiffin on Fri Apr 27, 2018 10:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

ladytina42
Posts: 2
Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2015 2:02 pm

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby ladytina42 » Fri Apr 13, 2018 5:56 pm

I see 2 of the first 3 have placed already...good job! I will keep watching...thanks

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Sat Apr 14, 2018 11:36 pm

right please read the title being testing, im looking at the system and it produces alot of placed horses so today i looked at adding the system filters then taking the top speed figure and it produced 5 out of 7 horses on the place market,due to work i can paste up every day .

but to fresh the system so far is distance plus one minus one and 24 months....top win and place,win takes priority unless horse comes up twice in the top 2 in place and win

going forward i will play with the filters whilst monitoring the system at each aw track as it looks like lingfield and southwell perform better than wolvs and kempton

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Wed Apr 18, 2018 5:23 pm

Been a quite week for aw. Kempton is a bad track for this testing system but will post up my findings after work but 2nd race looked promising

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Thu Apr 19, 2018 7:08 am

right over at kempton last night i used the system knowing kempton was a bad performer so took the following selections
1815 reverberation,kindergarten kop
delyll,hudersfilly town
warsaw road,mr minerals
ubs cool,quothquan
vincenzo coccotti,artic flower

so thinking i need to start looking at other filters i run several systems at once to find which works best at each aw track
so by adding the above system and adding the class filter then getting the win column descending in order and taking the top two only when the left hand official rating is below the highest official rating from the right side column (move down to next horse if not) then i had the following selections. If no win use place figure.

jungle in the bungle,arthurs spirit
dubia plais,kindergarten kop
ileyboy, farmers destany
ii primo sole,guided tour
la maguina,rux ruxx
mr minerals,himself
silver quay,emmenishing
inshaa,cryptonite

as you can tell the latter performed alot better at kempton

so moving forward im statring to home in on each track and will keep you updated on my finds

please note all filters and methods will be given, i know like all sites you get someone who starts something then trys to make money from you all, my only interest is to find a winning system on the aw and have some fun along the way

goodluck

excuse typos, my eyes are getting old

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Thu Apr 19, 2018 8:48 am

newcastle is todays aw, not had much to go on here so will use the system to see what it brings

24months,distance 1 up 1 down,top win/place to decide

Newcastle 19th Apr - 17:40 2m Hcap
Backing: Jassas OR St Andrews
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:10 1m2f Hcap
Backing: Seven Clans OR Paddyplex
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Image OR Elixsoft
Newcastle 19th Apr - 19:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Odds On Oli OR Rock On Bertie
Newcastle 19th Apr - 21:15 7f Stks
Backing: Lord Murphy OR Cookie Ring

same system as above but with class added to match todays again win,place top horses to choice as long as official rating on left is lower than official ratting on right side if not move down.
1
Newcastle 19th Apr - 17:40 2m Hcap
Backing: Hediddodinthe OR St Andrews
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:10 1m2f Hcap
Backing: Paddyplex OR Royal Shaheen
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Lumi OR Shrewd Approach
Newcastle 19th Apr - 19:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Odds On Oli OR Rock On Bertie
Newcastle 19th Apr - 20:15 7f Nov Stks
Backing: Desert Frost OR Valentino Dancer
Newcastle 19th Apr - 20:45 7f Nov Stks
Backing: Tight Lines OR Mountain Breath
Newcastle 19th Apr - 21:15 7f Stks
Backing: Lord Murphy OR Captain Bob


as you may see main system misses novice races as pointless but happy to test class added system on all races

the missing figure trend horses
as you know after adding main system filters any horse which is missing a official rating figure but looking for just 1 or two in each race,if lots move on
1
Newcastle 19th Apr - 17:40 2m Hcap
Backing: Dance Rock OR Smooth Operator
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Lumi OR Broken Wings OR Trump Alexander
Newcastle 19th Apr - 21:15 7f Stks
Backing: Silverlight OR Palace Ball

the odds will determine the win or place market looking at palaceball, place

the other system which picks up on good place bets is both system ran but look at top speed rating

Newcastle 19th Apr - 17:40 2m Hcap
Backing: Dance Rock OR Pantomime
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:10 1m2f Hcap
Backing: Extra Mile
Newcastle 19th Apr - 18:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Shrewd Approach
Newcastle 19th Apr - 19:40 1m Hcap
Backing: Odds On Oli OR Foxrush Take Time
Newcastle 19th Apr - 20:15 7f Nov Stks
Backing: Bold Reason OR Gabrial The Saint
Newcastle 19th Apr - 20:45 7f Nov Stks
Bacing: Emaraaty
Newcastle 19th Apr - 21:15 7f Stks
Backing: Captain Bob OR Bop It
Last edited by mattgiffin on Fri Apr 27, 2018 10:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Thu Apr 19, 2018 8:40 pm

Well the main two systems in my view was nothing special. Adding the speed figure to the system produced the most winners

Onwards we go

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Fri Apr 20, 2018 8:46 am

does it work only on the aw, i havent the time to do every track hence why i do aw and like the racing better than jumps. so the question is does it work on other tracks, i tried newmarket yesterday with the system ,class and official rating bit and had
music society or maybride
brando or magiical memory
roaring lion or mascar
sheikha relik or ocala
kasbaan
occupy or african jazz
morlock or malsab

but then cheltenham was a flop...

as suggested your more than welcome to have a play on non aw but im going to stick to my original aw plan

Daznvern
Posts: 9
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 5:32 pm

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby Daznvern » Fri Apr 20, 2018 9:15 pm

So is it
24 months
Distance plus and minus 1
Class same
Then use top speed???

mattgiffin
Posts: 56
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2017 7:59 am

Re: aw systems (testing)

Postby mattgiffin » Sat Apr 21, 2018 5:32 pm

124months,distance 1 up 1 down,top win/place to decide

Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:00 6f Hcap
Backing: The Amber Fort Searanger [12]
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:30 5f Hcap
Backing: Powerful Dream OR Newstead Abbey
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:00 7f Hcap
Backing: Critical Thinking OR Phosphorescence
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:30 1m Hcap
Backing: Gala Celebration OR Barca
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 20:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Berkshire Spirit
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 20:30 1m4f Mdn Stks
Backing: General Ginger
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 21:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Casemates Square OR Carvelas


same system as above but with class added to match todays again win,place top horses to choice

1
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:00 6f Hcap
Backing: Searanger OR Meshardal
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:30 5f Hcap
Backing: Powerful Dream OR Zipedeedodah
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:00 7f Hcap
Backing: Archie OR Tai Sing Yeh
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:30 1m Hcap
Backing: Berlusca OR Picketts Charge
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 20:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Berkshire Spirit
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 20:30 1m4f Mdn Stks
Backing: General Ginger
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 21:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Carvelas OR Kay Sera

speed filter

Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:00 6f Hcap
Backing: Laughton
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 18:30 5f Hcap
Backing: Zipedeedodah
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:00 7f Hcap
Backing: Phosphorescence
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 19:30 1m Hcap
Backing: Adventureman
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 20:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Berkshire Spirit
Wolverhampton 21st Apr - 21:00 1m4f Hcap
Backing: Amadeus Rox
Last edited by mattgiffin on Fri Apr 27, 2018 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.


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