Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Aug 19, 2018 12:12 pm

things slightly got away from me yesterday but nothing to be too concerned about although i had a rough week (3 from 19) also so that its a bit worse than is evident on this page, the previous week was great so swings and roundabouts as usual and that keeps the interest high.


Today i see a lot of numbers runners and day like these will have a decent impact on the week ahead as a whole so will need a little luck on my side


Southwell
H/C 15:25

Hargam £170 win @11/4 william hill

What looks an open contest i am very hopeful this horse gets the job done today. A highly promising horse who has been held in high regard for hat seems an age but has rarely put it all together and hit reach the potential. Its been a little disappointing that the horse didnt instantly fire when moving stables but finally got act together in a weak race last time and that could very well be a turning point for him as it was a long while since last win and despite the form will need improving upon i think it will happen and run a huge race today. I feel the market order is about correct and the top 3 in the order the model had so its a tight race and whilst the model suggest this horse doesnt offer enough value (Priced up at 3.8 ) for a confident bet i feel differently on this occasion.... The numbers look to favour Voix D'Eau priced 8/1 but only 6.2 from a value POV.


H/C 16:25

Rose Tree £150 EW @ 9/1(split 3 ways all BOG) price is generally available accross the board.

The fav really does look ahead of mark and i just have a feeling it could be too good but the price is too short for my interest and also the models price (3.1) i would have had it a 7/4 shot so either way i had to miss it here, The value on the model is split between a few of these including the horse (Rose Tree 6.2) i feel could be better than already shown. Second up off the wind op just like the fav for a trainer with a good track record and a good jockey booking and looked like would enjoy a step back up in trip last time as did look a better horse since the op.





Numbers runners I shall be placing £100 on each due outlay worries.

Pontefract
14:00 World Order £100 Win 10/11 bet365 , Unibet wouldn't let me place the bet at evens :roll:
14:30 Lynwood Gold £100 win -had to place £50 Split WH and Bolesports
15:05 Wind Place And Sho £50 EW bet365 @9/2
15:35 Darkanna £50 EW boylsports @20/1 4- 1/5
16:05 Knighted £100 win boyelsports @5/1


Southwell
14:20 Cernunnos £50 EW bet365 12/1

Tramore
16:15 Na Trachtalai Abu £50 EW bet365 10/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Tue Aug 21, 2018 11:55 pm

Well the numbers did well on sunday shame i was off target though which was costly to me.

York day 1

Here are my top value horses for the first day at york,unfortunately there is no numbers runners on day 1 at the odds available at time of post but some value to be gained but it could be high variance. There is nothing i really fancy on day 1 from my personal point of view but i shall be playing the day to a lowered stake on the following.


13:55 £40 EW Tommy Taylor @10/1 (365)
14:25 £40 Win Phoenix Of Spain @5/1 (365)
15:00 £60 EW The Pentagon @13/2 (365)
15:35 £50 EW Benbatl @10/1 (365)
16:15 £40 EW Manjaam @25/1(Ladbrokes)
16:50 £35 EW Rathbone @10/1 (365)

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Aug 24, 2018 11:49 am

again there is nothing i really like at york enough to press the button and have a solid wager , that will change tomorrow though. I have played the top value runners to the following


1:55 Titus £30 ew 9/1(365)
2:25 Desert Skyline £30 ew 20/1 (365)
3:00 Space Traveller £50 win 7/2 (365)
3:35Mr Lupton £40 ew 20/1(365)
4:15 miss
445 Borodin £45 ew 8/1 (365)

martinkil
Posts: 1007
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby martinkil » Sat Aug 25, 2018 8:22 am

Cracking winner with Titus - although I was looking for a runner call miss "something" in the 4.15 until it dawned on me what you meant :)

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Sat Aug 25, 2018 10:35 am

Thank you martin. :lol: :lol: well maybe i was hoping that a miss xxx would run so i could back it :?


Well we are at the final day stage so lets hope for a good day ahead :D


The Ebor 15:40

Nakeeta £150 EW @11/ with Paddy power paying 6 places

2nd Top on the value ratings (Also back the top rated, see below) and a personal fav of mine who took this 12 months ago and will likely run an almighty race again. Looked to be coming back to form last time and this would have been the target, there are better handicapped runners but i doubt there are many runners who are so far ahead that this horse doesnt hit a top 6 finish over 80% of the time.



Top value york day 4

1:50 Threading £40 ew @9/1 (365)
2:25 Heart Of Grace £60 ew @7/1(365)
300 Donjuan Triumphant £50 ew @12/1 (365)
15:40 Sea The Lion £50 ew @16/1 (Paddy power)
16:15 Chapelli £40 win @7/1 (365)
16:45 Pivoine £40 Win @4/1 (365)
7:20 Marnie James £30 ew @10/1 (WH)

martinkil
Posts: 1007
Joined: Sun Jan 11, 2015 9:55 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby martinkil » Sat Aug 25, 2018 11:03 am

Oh dear - Nakeeta - has a double penalty of my cash sitting on it's back as well - best of luck to us!!

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Aug 26, 2018 1:01 pm

there are a ton of numbers horses today that i thought i would post up here for members.


Beverley
4:25 Mont Kinabalu £100 ew @12/1 (365)
6:00 Life For Rentin £200 Win 4/1 (365)

curragh
2:35 Chocolate Music £100 ew @16/1 (365)
3:05 Klute £100 ew @ 8/1 (365)
4:15 Morga £100 ew 12/1 (365)
5:25 Rattling Jewel £200 win @4/1 (PP)

Goodwood
300 Beringer £100 win 9/2 (365)
335 Balmoral Castle £150 win 3/1 (pp)
4:10 Breton Rock £300 win @ 9/4 (365)
4:45 Jet Streaming £200 ew @13/2 (Lad)
5:50 Tapis Libre £100 win 13/2 (lad)

Yarmouth
2:50 Great Hall £100 win @14/1 (365)
4:35 Petrus £150 win 4/1 (365)
510 Robero £100 win 17/2 (365)
5:40 Kraka £100 win 5/1 (lad)

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:01 pm

With the outstanding week i have had from the numbers i thought i would post up just before the weekend as opposed to the normal weekend/big meet only. This could be tempting fate but the roll the numbers are on the past 4 days is quite ridiculous , will it continue? lets find out.


Sandown
2:10 pm Shamshon £100 win 11/4 most bog
3:50 Mushtaq £75 win 6/1 (365)
5:00pm Narjes £200 win 4/1 (365)

Thirsk
3:05pm Straightothepoint £50 ew 7/1 (365)
3:40pm Munfallet £150 win @4/1 (pp)
4:15 Zebulon £50 ew 20/1 (365)
4:45 Gin In The Inn £50 ew @20/1 (365)
5:50 Trogon £300 win 4/1(365)


Hamilton
6:55pm Eye Of The Storm £50 ew 33/1 (pp)
8:00 pm Hot Hannah £50 ew 25/1

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Sat Sep 01, 2018 11:53 am

well it turned back yesterday although was close to pulling off a decent day but wasnt to be. nothing i fancy today but the model throws out a bunch of numbers runners again and that will be my focus today.


numbers runners
beverley
3:20 Musharrif £100 win 11/2
3:55 Indomeneo £50 ew 20/1
4:30 Right Action £50 ew 25/1

chester
2:05 Lake Volta £50 ew 5/1

Lingfield
4:20 Dark Pearl £300 win 9/4
5:30 Black Bess £100 win 11/2
7:00 Sanam £100 win 10/1
7:30 Firlinfeu £100 win 11/1

Sandown
1:50 Compas Scoobie £100 ew 12/1
2:25 Almoreb £100 ew 11/1
5:20 Dark Pearl £100 ew 15/2

LoveWinners
Posts: 648
Joined: Thu Jan 22, 2015 3:02 am

Re: Turkey or Chicken? Weekend best bets leading upto xmas

Postby LoveWinners » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:54 am

a profit from all 4 meetings yesterday although doesnt help when i post a duplicate horse at the wrong time at lingfield although the price indicated which horse it was fortunately.


A quiet day with just the following numbers runners and nothing i like personally

Brighton
4:30 Archimento £100 win 5/2
500 Archie £100 win 3/1

Worcester
2:15 No No Cardinal £50 ew 9/1
3:45 Ginger Fizz £50 ew 11/1


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