Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Any comments on today's racing. Please don't just put in selections ... please add some reason why you think a runner will win
Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Thu Jan 10, 2019 11:08 am

Review of 9 January 2019

TPR_Results_09012019.jpg
TPR_Results_09012019.jpg (47.37 KiB) Viewed 110 times


4 wins from 9 runners for the top rated, SR% = 44%, PL = -1.37
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Thu Jan 10, 2019 11:12 am

Thursday 10 January 2019

Time Course Horse Runners Handicap Conf. Rank

13:20 Sthl Eternal Sun 8 Y 106.67% 1
13:20 Sthl Midnight Malibu 8 Y 100.00% 2
13:20 Sthl Acclaim The Nation 8 Y 93.33% 3
13:20 Sthl Erissimus Maximus 8 Y 86.67% 4
13:20 Sthl Classic Pursuit 8 Y 70.00% 5
13:20 Sthl JacobS Pillow 8 Y 56.67% 6
13:20 Sthl Ornate 8 Y 53.33% 7
13:20 Sthl Samovar 8 Y 53.33% 7

13:45 Leic Desirable Court 4 N 168.42% 1
13:45 Leic Blackdown Hills 4 N 100.00% 2
13:45 Leic Arian 4 N 94.74% 3
13:45 Leic Hopes Wishes 4 N 73.68% 4

13:55 Sthl Weld Al Emarat 6 Y 134.78% 1
13:55 Sthl Three Weeks 6 Y 100.00% 2
13:55 Sthl Mama Africa 6 Y 100.00% 2
13:55 Sthl Showboating 6 Y 78.26% 4
13:55 Sthl Barrington 6 Y 65.22% 5
13:55 Sthl Mr Top Hat 6 Y 60.87% 6

14:20 Leic Master Work 9 Y 113.33% 1
14:20 Leic Thounder 9 Y 100.00% 2
14:20 Leic Flashing Glance 9 Y 80.00% 3
14:20 Leic Mad Jack Mytton 9 Y 66.67% 4
14:20 Leic Collodi 9 Y 66.67% 4
14:20 Leic Away For Slates 9 Y 63.33% 6
14:20 Leic Turning Gold 9 Y 53.33% 7
14:20 Leic Affaire Dhonneur 9 Y 53.33% 7
14:20 Leic The Green Ogre 9 Y 46.67% 9

14:25 Sthl Black Salt 7 Y 123.33% 1
14:25 Sthl Tan 7 Y 100.00% 2
14:25 Sthl The Right Choice 7 Y 90.00% 3
14:25 Sthl Jack The Truth 7 Y 83.33% 4
14:25 Sthl Bellevarde 7 Y 73.33% 5
14:25 Sthl Crosse Fire 7 Y 70.00% 6
14:25 Sthl Guardia Svizzera 7 Y 46.67% 7

14:45 Catt Same Circus 6 Y 103.23% 1
14:45 Catt Sharp Response 6 Y 100.00% 2
14:45 Catt Greyed A 6 Y 77.42% 3
14:45 Catt Little Bruce 6 Y 64.52% 4
14:45 Catt Western Jo 6 Y 58.06% 5
14:45 Catt Vieux Lille 6 Y 54.84% 6

18:25 ChemC Enthaar 8 Y 121.74% 1
18:25 ChemC Rockies Spirit 8 Y 100.00% 2
18:25 ChemC Makaarim 8 Y 91.30% 3
18:25 ChemC Titan Goddess 8 Y 86.96% 4
18:25 ChemC Archie 8 Y 65.22% 5
18:25 ChemC Kadrizzi 8 Y 65.22% 5
18:25 ChemC Zapper Cass 8 Y 65.22% 5
18:25 ChemC Pearl Spectre 8 Y 65.22% 5
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
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Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Fri Jan 11, 2019 10:15 am

Review of 10 January 2019

TPR_Results_10012019.jpg
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Top Ranked produced only one winner
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Fri Jan 11, 2019 10:19 am

Friday 11 January 2019

Time Course Horse Runners Handicap Conf. Rank

14:10 Ling Keyser Soze 8 Y 125.93% 1
14:10 Ling Take The Helm 8 Y 100.00% 2
14:10 Ling Areen Heart 8 Y 74.07% 3
14:10 Ling Reckless Endeavour 8 Y 70.37% 4
14:10 Ling Mickey 8 Y 62.96% 5
14:10 Ling Swift Approval 8 Y 62.96% 5
14:10 Ling Intransigent 8 Y 59.26% 7
14:10 Ling Mr Scaramanga 8 Y 51.85% 8

14:50 Sedge Oak Vintage 5 Y 111.54% 1
14:50 Sedge Inch Lala 5 Y 100.00% 2
14:50 Sedge Instant Replay 5 Y 96.15% 3
14:50 Sedge Tayzar 5 Y 73.08% 4
14:50 Sedge The Paddy Pie 5 Y 57.69% 5

15:00 Hunt Well Smitten 6 Y 128.57% 1
15:00 Hunt Dell Oro 6 Y 100.00% 2
15:00 Hunt Niven 6 Y 90.48% 3
15:00 Hunt Embole 6 Y 85.71% 4
15:00 Hunt Stamp Your Feet 6 Y 80.95% 5
15:00 Hunt Jurby 6 Y 80.95% 5

15:20 Sedge Nortonthorpelegend 7 Y 106.67% 1
15:20 Sedge Conas Taoi 7 Y 100.00% 2
15:20 Sedge Cabragh 7 Y 76.67% 3
15:20 Sedge Sideways 7 Y 66.67% 4
15:20 Sedge Chase The Wind 7 Y 60.00% 5
15:20 Sedge Crank Em Up 7 Y 53.33% 6
15:20 Sedge Overtheedge 7 Y 53.33% 6

15:40 Ling Little Miss Daisy 10 Y 113.04% 1
15:40 Ling Jorvik Prince 10 Y 100.00% 2
15:40 Ling Mercers 10 Y 100.00% 2
15:40 Ling Impart 10 Y 91.30% 4
15:40 Ling Entertaining Ben 10 Y 73.91% 5
15:40 Ling Pharoh Jake 10 Y 65.22% 6
15:40 Ling Avon Green 10 Y 60.87% 7
15:40 Ling Temple Road 10 Y 60.87% 7
15:40 Ling Pranceabootthetoon 10 Y 60.87% 7
15:40 Ling Zipedeedodah 10 Y 56.52% 10

17:15 Wolv Klass Action 4 Y 116.13% 1
17:15 Wolv Dragon Beat 4 Y 100.00% 2
17:15 Wolv Rock Bottom 4 Y 83.87% 3
17:15 Wolv Yolo Again 4 Y 48.39% 4

19:45 Wolv A Sure Welcome 10 Y 103.70% 1
19:45 Wolv Miracle Garden 10 Y 100.00% 2
19:45 Wolv Dotted Swiss 10 Y 85.19% 3
19:45 Wolv Hollander 10 Y 81.48% 4
19:45 Wolv Our Man In Havana 10 Y 77.78% 5
19:45 Wolv Indian Pursuit 10 Y 74.07% 6
19:45 Wolv Stoneyford Lane 10 Y 66.67% 7
19:45 Wolv Sir Ottoman 10 Y 55.56% 8
19:45 Wolv Letmestopyouthere 10 Y 51.85% 9
19:45 Wolv Kupa River 10 Y 51.85% 9
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Sat Jan 12, 2019 10:04 am

Review of Friday 11 January 2019

TPR_Results_11012019.jpg
TPR_Results_11012019.jpg (44.88 KiB) Viewed 74 times


7 Selections Ranked Top, 2 won, if backing all Top Ranked would have returned 11.13 points a PL of +4.13 points
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Sat Jan 12, 2019 10:12 am

Saturday 12 January 2019

Time Course Horse Runners Handicap Conf. Rank

13:15 Warw Robinshill 7 Y 128.00% 1
13:15 Warw Movie Legend 7 Y 100.00% 2
13:15 Warw Rock On Rocky 7 Y 96.00% 3
13:15 Warw Baby King 7 Y 76.00% 4
13:15 Warw Huntsman Son 7 Y 64.00% 5
13:15 Warw Bright New Dawn 7 Y 60.00% 6
13:15 Warw Generous Day 7 Y 60.00% 6

13:25 Ling Desert Doctor 6 Y 105.88% 1
13:25 Ling Reflektor 6 Y 100.00% 2
13:25 Ling Gorgeous Noora 6 Y 94.12% 3
13:25 Ling Merhoob 6 Y 88.24% 4
13:25 Ling Alsvinder 6 Y 79.41% 5
13:25 Ling Zac Brown 6 Y 58.82% 6

13:30 Kemp Amour de Nuit 4 Y 112.90% 1
13:30 Kemp Mercian Prince 4 Y 100.00% 2
13:30 Kemp Casse Tete 4 Y 87.10% 3
13:30 Kemp Poker School 4 Y 74.19% 4

13:35 Fairy Satoshi 8 Y 112.50% 1
13:35 Fairy Boot Camp 8 Y 100.00% 2
13:35 Fairy Brosna George 8 Y 93.75% 3
13:35 Fairy Shar Whats Therush 8 Y 81.25% 4
13:35 Fairy Jack Fiasco 8 Y 56.25% 5
13:35 Fairy Kalum River 8 Y 56.25% 5
13:35 Fairy Vision Dete 8 Y 56.25% 5
13:35 Fairy Vanellope 8 Y 56.25% 5

13:40 Weth Apterix 6 Y 104.35% 1
13:40 Weth Iolani 6 Y 100.00% 2
13:40 Weth Wishfull Dreaming 6 Y 91.30% 3
13:40 Weth Val Mome 6 Y 82.61% 4
13:40 Weth Pershing 6 Y 65.22% 5
13:40 Weth Zig Zag 6 Y 60.87% 6

13:50 Warw Rockys Treasure 4 N 113.33% 1
13:50 Warw Ok Corral 4 N 100.00% 2
13:50 Warw White Moon 4 N 93.33% 3
13:50 Warw Secret Investor 4 N 86.67% 4

14:00 Ling Dutch Uncle 5 N 131.58% 1
14:00 Ling Noble Expression 5 N 100.00% 2
14:00 Ling Sea Tea Dea 5 N 94.74% 3
14:00 Ling Contingency Fee 5 N 73.68% 4
14:00 Ling London Grammar 5 N 73.68% 4

14:05 Kemp Black Corton 5 N 139.29% 1
14:05 Kemp Top Notch 5 N 100.00% 2
14:05 Kemp Charbel 5 N 89.29% 3
14:05 Kemp Hammersly Lake 5 N 75.00% 4
14:05 Kemp Speredek 5 N 71.43% 5

14:10 Fairy Duca De Thaix 10 Y 105.56% 1
14:10 Fairy Kildorrery 10 Y 100.00% 2
14:10 Fairy Cubomania 10 Y 94.44% 3
14:10 Fairy Tycoon Prince 10 Y 88.89% 4
14:10 Fairy Blazer 10 Y 88.89% 4
14:10 Fairy A Toi Phil 10 Y 83.33% 6
14:10 Fairy Avenir Dune Vie 10 Y 77.78% 7
14:10 Fairy Bel Ami De Sivola 10 Y 77.78% 7
14:10 Fairy Three Stars 10 Y 66.67% 9
14:10 Fairy Kylecrue 10 Y 61.11% 10

14:15 Weth Nuts Well 5 Y 115.38% 1
14:15 Weth Kauto Riko 5 Y 100.00% 2
14:15 Weth Caraline 5 Y 88.46% 3
14:15 Weth Tree Of Liberty 5 Y 80.77% 4
14:15 Weth Beau Bay 5 Y 65.38% 5

14:25 Warw Birchdale 7 N 112.50% 1
14:25 Warw Stoney Mountain 7 N 100.00% 2
14:25 Warw Beakstown 7 N 93.75% 3
14:25 Warw Tidal Flow 7 N 87.50% 4
14:25 Warw Champagne Court 7 N 81.25% 5
14:25 Warw Finawn Bawn 7 N 81.25% 5
14:25 Warw Rockpoint 7 N 62.50% 7

14:35 Ling Breden 7 Y 121.43% 1
14:35 Ling My Target 7 Y 100.00% 2
14:35 Ling Isomer 7 Y 75.00% 3
14:35 Ling Chevallier 7 Y 71.43% 4
14:35 Ling Contrast 7 Y 71.43% 4
14:35 Ling Mickey 7 Y 50.00% 6
14:35 Ling Apex King 7 Y 50.00% 6

14:40 Kemp Erick Le Rouge 15 Y 107.14% 1
14:40 Kemp Cotswold Way 15 Y 100.00% 2
14:40 Kemp Star Of Lanka 15 Y 100.00% 2
14:40 Kemp Doux Pretender 15 Y 89.29% 4
14:40 Kemp Kloud Gate 15 Y 89.29% 4
14:40 Kemp Canyon City 15 Y 82.14% 6
14:40 Kemp Theatrebar 15 Y 78.57% 7
14:40 Kemp Lord Napier 15 Y 75.00% 8
14:40 Kemp Big Time Dancer 15 Y 71.43% 9
14:40 Kemp Darling Maltaix 15 Y 67.86% 10
14:40 Kemp Solomon Grey 15 Y 67.86% 10
14:40 Kemp And The New 15 Y 53.57% 12
14:40 Kemp Mellow Ben 15 Y 53.57% 12
14:40 Kemp Milrow 15 Y 53.57% 12
14:40 Kemp Sleep Easy 15 Y 50.00% 15

14:45 Fairy Uisce Beatha 8 N 100.00% 1
14:45 Fairy Mitchouka 8 N 100.00% 1
14:45 Fairy Gusty Rocky 8 N 91.67% 3
14:45 Fairy Play The Part 8 N 91.67% 3
14:45 Fairy Shawshank 8 N 91.67% 3
14:45 Fairy Great Khan 8 N 83.33% 6
14:45 Fairy Impact Factor 8 N 75.00% 7
14:45 Fairy Veinard 8 N 75.00% 7

14:50 Weth Bordeaux Bill 7 Y 107.14% 1
14:50 Weth Kapgarry 7 Y 100.00% 2
14:50 Weth Simply A Legend 7 Y 78.57% 3
14:50 Weth Braavos 7 Y 78.57% 3
14:50 Weth Jet Set 7 Y 71.43% 5
14:50 Weth Blue Hussar 7 Y 71.43% 5
14:50 Weth Thosedaysaregone 7 Y 53.57% 7

15:00 Warw Step Back 13 Y 103.57% 1
15:00 Warw Un Temps Pour Tout 13 Y 100.00% 2
15:00 Warw Ibis Du Rheu 13 Y 75.00% 3
15:00 Warw Milansbar 13 Y 75.00% 3
15:00 Warw Ultragold 13 Y 71.43% 5
15:00 Warw Cogry 13 Y 71.43% 5
15:00 Warw Caroles Destrier 13 Y 71.43% 5
15:00 Warw Duel At Dawn 13 Y 67.86% 8
15:00 Warw Crosspark 13 Y 67.86% 8
15:00 Warw Chase The Spud 13 Y 64.29% 10
15:00 Warw Impulsive Star 13 Y 64.29% 10
15:00 Warw Calett Mad 13 Y 60.71% 12
15:00 Warw Sizing Codelco 13 Y 50.00% 13

15:15 Kemp Josses Hill 7 Y 121.74% 1
15:15 Kemp Ballykan 7 Y 100.00% 2
15:15 Kemp Glen Rocco 7 Y 100.00% 2
15:15 Kemp Minella Daddy 7 Y 91.30% 4
15:15 Kemp Barney Dwan 7 Y 86.96% 5
15:15 Kemp Cold March 7 Y 78.26% 6
15:15 Kemp Bally Longford 7 Y 56.52% 7

15:25 Weth Lord County 5 Y 130.43% 1
15:25 Weth Thyne For Gold 5 Y 100.00% 2
15:25 Weth Agamemmon 5 Y 95.65% 3
15:25 Weth Astracad 5 Y 82.61% 4
15:25 Weth Manwell 5 Y 69.57% 5

15:35 Warw First Assignment 10 Y 107.69% 1
15:35 Warw Blaklion 10 Y 100.00% 2
15:35 Warw Notwhatiam 10 Y 100.00% 2
15:35 Warw Holly Bush Henry 10 Y 96.15% 4
15:35 Warw Keeper Hill 10 Y 88.46% 5
15:35 Warw Ritual Of Senses 10 Y 84.62% 6
15:35 Warw Lungarno Palace 10 Y 80.77% 7
15:35 Warw Perfect Man 10 Y 76.92% 8
15:35 Warw Malapie 10 Y 69.23% 9
15:35 Warw Oh Land Abloom 10 Y 65.38% 10

15:45 Kemp Magic Dancer 8 Y 136.36% 1
15:45 Kemp Eddiemaurice 8 Y 100.00% 2
15:45 Kemp Oakley 8 Y 95.45% 3
15:45 Kemp John Constable 8 Y 90.91% 4
15:45 Kemp Dino Velvet 8 Y 90.91% 4
15:45 Kemp Speed Company 8 Y 81.82% 6
15:45 Kemp Old Harry Rocks 8 Y 81.82% 6
15:45 Kemp Minellaforleisure 8 Y 63.64% 8

16:00 Newc Rey Loopy 7 Y 110.00% 1
16:00 Newc Mont Kinabalu 7 Y 100.00% 2
16:00 Newc Muqarred 7 Y 85.00% 3
16:00 Newc Glory of Paris 7 Y 80.00% 4
16:00 Newc Paparazzi 7 Y 75.00% 5
16:00 Newc Newmarket Warrior 7 Y 70.00% 6
16:00 Newc Dubai Elegance 7 Y 70.00% 6

17:30 Newc Azzeccagarbugli 5 Y 100.00% 1
17:30 Newc Ballard Down 5 Y 100.00% 1
17:30 Newc Qaffaal 5 Y 85.00% 3
17:30 Newc Tough Remedy 5 Y 85.00% 3
17:30 Newc Steel Train 5 Y 70.00% 5

18:00 Newc Helovaplan 5 Y 100.00% 1
18:00 Newc Luis Vaz De Torres 5 Y 100.00% 1
18:00 Newc Custard The Dragon 5 Y 91.30% 3
18:00 Newc Call Out Loud 5 Y 69.57% 4
18:00 Newc Portledge 5 Y 69.57% 4

18:30 Newc Capla Demon 9 Y 115.79% 1
18:30 Newc Avenue Of Stars 9 Y 100.00% 2
18:30 Newc Lucky Lodge 9 Y 94.74% 3
18:30 Newc Kentuckyconnection 9 Y 94.74% 3
18:30 Newc Johnny Cavagin 9 Y 94.74% 3
18:30 Newc Duke Cosimo 9 Y 89.47% 6
18:30 Newc Athollblair Boy 9 Y 78.95% 7
18:30 Newc Katheefa 9 Y 78.95% 7
18:30 Newc Kommander Kirkup 9 Y 78.95% 7
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Sun Jan 13, 2019 11:24 am

Review of Saturday 12 January 2019

Top Ranked produced 3 wins from 22, after removing NR's, returned 22.68 points, a small return of +0.68, though would have been a slight loss after 5% deduction

Winners were

14:00 Ling Dutch Uncle 1.45
14:10 Fairy Duca De Thaix 4.23
14:45 Fairy Uisce Beatha 17.00
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Sun Jan 13, 2019 11:48 am

Sunday 13 January 2019

9 races numbered up from a total of 20 races scheduled for today

Time Course Horse Runners Handicap Conf. Rank

13:15 Punch Ben Dundee 9 N 115.79% 1
13:15 Punch Gun Digger 9 N 100.00% 2
13:15 Punch Cubomania 9 N 94.74% 3
13:15 Punch Poli Roi 9 N 94.74% 3
13:15 Punch Winter Escape 9 N 89.47% 5
13:15 Punch A Plus Tard 9 N 89.47% 5
13:15 Punch Jetz 9 N 73.68% 7
13:15 Punch Blow By Blow 9 N 68.42% 8
13:15 Punch Beyond The Law 9 N 52.63% 9

13:25 Sthl Cool Spirit 7 Y 111.11% 1
13:25 Sthl Chookie Dunedin 7 Y 100.00% 2
13:25 Sthl Something Lucky 7 Y 100.00% 2
13:25 Sthl Ornate 7 Y 92.59% 4
13:25 Sthl Mininggold 7 Y 81.48% 5
13:25 Sthl Samovar 7 Y 70.37% 6
13:25 Sthl Crosse Fire 7 Y 66.67% 7

13:35 Kelso Diamond King 5 Y 107.69% 1
13:35 Kelso Diocese 5 Y 100.00% 2
13:35 Kelso Martila 5 Y 92.31% 3
13:35 Kelso Prince Charmin 5 Y 84.62% 4
13:35 Kelso The Herds Garden 5 Y 57.69% 5

13:45 Punch Dundrum Lad 7 Y 100.00% 1
13:45 Punch Markets Field 7 Y 100.00% 1
13:45 Punch Peacocks Secret 7 Y 82.35% 3
13:45 Punch Im An Izz Wizz 7 Y 76.47% 4
13:45 Punch Oscar Lantern 7 Y 64.71% 5
13:45 Punch Take The Cash 7 Y 64.71% 5
13:45 Punch Well Tom 7 Y 52.94% 7

13:55 Sthl Azari 5 Y 114.81% 1
13:55 Sthl Vivernus 5 Y 100.00% 2
13:55 Sthl Mixboy 5 Y 92.59% 3
13:55 Sthl Great Hall 5 Y 66.67% 4
13:55 Sthl Ezanak 5 Y 51.85% 5

14:05 Kelso Beggars Wishes 5 Y 107.14% 1
14:05 Kelso Mount Mews 5 Y 100.00% 2
14:05 Kelso Dimple 5 Y 92.86% 3
14:05 Kelso Eureu Du Boulay 5 Y 78.57% 4
14:05 Kelso Rock On Fruity 5 Y 67.86% 5

14:20 Punch Se Mo Laoch 11 Y 121.43% 1
14:20 Punch Amaulino 11 Y 100.00% 2
14:20 Punch Teachers Pet 11 Y 85.71% 3
14:20 Punch Major Destination 11 Y 85.71% 3
14:20 Punch Snugsborough Hall 11 Y 85.71% 3
14:20 Punch Whisperinthebreeze 11 Y 78.57% 6
14:20 Punch Aherlow 11 Y 78.57% 6
14:20 Punch Hugo n Taz 11 Y 71.43% 8
14:20 Punch Double Portrait 11 Y 71.43% 8
14:20 Punch Undressed 11 Y 64.29% 10
14:20 Punch The Ballyboys 11 Y 64.29% 10

14:50 Punch Buildmeupbuttercup 6 N 105.56% 1
14:50 Punch Jan Maat 6 N 100.00% 2
14:50 Punch Felix Desjy 6 N 88.89% 3
14:50 Punch Jetez 6 N 83.33% 4
14:50 Punch Swordsman 6 N 83.33% 4
14:50 Punch Harrie 6 N 61.11% 6

15:10 Kelso Lough Derg Jewel 5 Y 120.83% 1
15:10 Kelso Blue Kascade 5 Y 100.00% 2
15:10 Kelso Henryville 5 Y 87.50% 3
15:10 Kelso Groundunderrepair 5 Y 75.00% 4
15:10 Kelso Chidswell 5 Y 70.83% 5
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Mon Jan 14, 2019 10:21 am

Review of Sunday 13 January 2019

TPR_Results_13012019.jpg
TPR_Results_13012019.jpg (53.63 KiB) Viewed 48 times


2 wins from 9 for the Top Rated, produced an overall loss on the day of 1 point
Catspajamas

Catspajamas
Posts: 99
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2016 9:47 am

Re: Today's Patternform Rankings (TPR)

Postby Catspajamas » Mon Jan 14, 2019 2:20 pm

Monday 14 January 2019

TPR_14012019.jpg
TPR_14012019.jpg (162.5 KiB) Viewed 44 times


I have added an Odds Line, inspired by raysofsun57 and the 'TrueWin' idea, I have taken the Conf. value and converted it in to an Odds Value, I have also included the 11 AM Exchange odds and the 11 AM odds rank (1 indicates the Market Favourite), this has allowed me to add a column called Value, the idea is if the Odds Line Value is less than the actual 11 AM Exchange price then would represent a 'Value' Bet as indicated with a "Y"

Given that this is purely a ranking based on pure form, it is producing an Odds Line Value based purely on form, for example looking at the 14:35 at Ffosl, the top ranked on form is Potters Story, with an 11 AM Exchange price of 7.20, and an Odds Line of 2.04, which indicates this is a value bet and worth a small wager, on the other hand Whatswrongwithyou represents poor value and the 11 AM Exchange price is only 1.58 and an Odds Line of 2.10, so only worth a bet if the price is Evens or above, 1.58 represents poor value given the rankings of the other horses

Not sure how this approach will work out if comparing the Odds Line to the actual exchange price is a sensible comparator, the challenge is to produce and Odds Line that realistically represents the chances of the horse winning

I have used a 70% reduction factor in creating the Odds Line, so it is not a direct 100% conversion from the Conf. Value, I did this to take into account that 'real' odds tend to be lower than a horses 'real' chance of winning

Also I have a lot of threads going, and too much to manage, so will focus on this Thread and take my pick from the races numbered up

My Selections are
14:35 FfosL Whatswrongwithyou (not good value unless getting Evens or better)
15:25 Font Native Robin
15:25 Font Mortens Leam
Catspajamas


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